#美国就业数据表现强劲超出预期 Why does the rate hike in Japan instead trigger a surge in the market?

Market psychology is playing tricks.

Looking at this wave of market movement, it’s actually quite interesting.

The general expectation is that rate hikes will suppress the price of cryptocurrencies, and many retail investors are positioning short at what they believe to be a high point, even setting stop-loss orders. But what happens? The market reverses sharply and surges, triggering those stop-losses. The underlying logic is quite simple—this is a classic market sentiment trap.

When most people are waiting for a decline, the opposite force will emerge. First, there’s a quick rally, shaking out trend-following shorts and retail stop-losses. Once the chips are sufficiently concentrated, the market will fall back as expected. This process is called a shakeout, and its purpose is to redistribute the chips.

The key to catching this rhythm is—don’t be driven by emotions. Many people rush into short positions at the sight of negative news like rate hikes, but they overlook the psychological game behind the market. The real opportunity appears during the rebound, when most people have already exited.

Taking $SOL as an example, it’s precisely after the emotional reversal and retail stop-losses are released that a steady rebound and profit opportunity emerge.

The market always repeats the same story—expectation, reversal, shakeout, and the real trend. Learning to recognize this cycle is much more useful than chasing highs and selling lows.