Three-month moving average inflation is only 1.6%? U.S. policy signals a rate cut

【BlockBeats】Recently, there is an interesting economic perspective worth noting. The U.S. White House economic advisor proposed a unique inflation assessment method in media interviews—focusing not on year-over-year data, but on the three-month moving average of price pressures. According to this approach, the current U.S. inflation rate is approximately 1.6%, which is actually below the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

What does this logic imply? Core inflation is at or below the target level, leaving ample room for the Fed’s rate cut policies. In other words, the policy level seems to be paving the way for further easing.

Of course, this data interpretation differs significantly from traditional year-over-year statistics, and there are many skeptical voices in the market. But in any case, this reflects policymakers’ judgment of the economic cycle—at least from the perspective of inflation pressure, they believe there is still room for maneuver.

For friends who focus on macroeconomic cycles, such policy signals often influence the rhythm of asset allocation. The Fed’s policy direction is closely related to liquidity conditions in the crypto market, which is worth continuous observation.