#区块链金融创新 Recently, I have seen discussions about prediction markets and on-chain Gas futures, and I want to share some thoughts.

Prediction markets are indeed hot, but I am increasingly recognizing a core issue — their greatest potential does not lie in gambling, but in **hedging real needs**. Just like traditional futures markets, farmers hedge against grain price risks, food manufacturers hedge against cost fluctuations; these all stem from genuine challenges in production and daily life.

Vitalik's recent ideas particularly triggered me — the on-chain Gas futures market is actually addressing a real pain point. Users are genuinely concerned about future Gas fee trends and want to lock in costs and plan expenses. This is not a gambler's game, but a **true economic need**.

This made me think that the correct way to innovate in blockchain finance should start from the real economy. It’s not about creating speculative opportunities, but about making on-chain activities more predictable and affordable. When prediction markets serve real risk hedging rather than purely traffic harvesting, they can become sustainable financial infrastructure.

The future of Web3 finance should be those innovations that truly solve problems — whether it’s Gas fee stability, liquidity provision, or cross-chain settlement risks. These seemingly ordinary needs are the foundation for building a strong ecosystem.