[Chain Text] The latest “2025 World Trade Report” released by the WTO throws out a heavy prediction: assuming supporting policies keep up, what can AI do in the next 15 years?
From a numerical perspective, it looks quite impressive – by 2040, cross-border goods and services trade is expected to grow by 34% to 37%, and global GDP growth can reach 12% to 13%. In other words, AI is not just about improving production efficiency; it can also significantly reduce trade costs and streamline global commerce.
But this growth will not happen automatically. The report emphasizes three key points: first, the digital infrastructure gap must be bridged, and the disparity between developed and developing countries cannot be too large; second, skill training must keep pace, otherwise the distribution of AI dividends will be uneven; third, the trade environment must remain open and predictable, which is crucial for global liquidity.
For cryptocurrency practitioners, this reflects a larger context—the global economy is accelerating its digitization and connectivity, which is why DeFi and cross-chain protocols have garnered so much attention in the past two years. In the long run, this evolution of economic structure will reshape the flow of capital.
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BankruptWorker
· 12-21 04:08
Well... a 34-37% rise sounds good, but it's contingent on whether countries are really willing to cooperate. The probability seems a bit uncertain.
I believe in the drop in trade costs; the efficiency of AI is indeed unquestionable.
By the way, in that WTO report, do developing countries really get to share in the dividends? It feels like it's again the developed countries that are making money.
AI + open trade, this is indeed the future.
Wait, could these numbers be idealistic? With so many trade barriers among countries right now...
The infrastructure gap is the most painful issue; in some areas of Africa, even electricity is unstable.
To achieve a 12-13% GDP growth rate, how many years would it take?
The uneven distribution of dividends is disheartening; it's the Matthew effect again, isn't it?
It seems that encryption has indeed seized this wave of digitization opportunity.
In short, it still depends on whether the policies of various countries can really be relaxed.
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GovernancePretender
· 12-21 03:58
Policies that cannot keep up are pointless; just look at how countries are restricting AI now.
34-37% sounds nice, but how many points can be allocated to developing countries?
Open trade environment? With anti-globalization so severe now, this report seems a bit too optimistic.
As for the infrastructure gap, will developed countries actively bridge it? Dream on.
The real problem is that skills training is lagging, and a large number of blue-collar workers should be worried.
How will this logical chain affect Liquidity on-chain? Haven't thought it through yet.
With a GDP growth rate of 12-13%, half of it is consumed by big companies, leaving retail investors with the leftovers.
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liquidation_surfer
· 12-21 03:56
Again, it’s that saying "Assuming the policies keep up"... but what about in reality?
The WTO calculations sound good, but who is going to fill that infrastructure gap?
12-13% GDP growth sounds great, but the question is how to share the dividends?
This is the key point, 34-37% growth but a larger wealth gap is useless.
Open up? Uh... in this current environment? That’s a bit overly optimistic, isn’t it?
As for 2040, let’s first see how we survive in 2025.
The acceleration of digitalization is indeed Favourable Information for the Chain Community, but there are too many preconditions.
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MysteryBoxBuster
· 12-21 03:49
To put it bluntly, the policy needs to keep up, otherwise the numbers are just talk.
It's a bit far-fetched; the infrastructure gap in developing countries is so large, can it really be leveled?
A GDP growth rate of 12% sounds incredible, but the premise is that all three conditions must be met... what's the reality?
Maintaining predictable trade openness sounds like a joke, especially with such geopolitical chaos.
The key still lies in who can first restrict the flow of AI; no matter how good the growth numbers look, they are useless.
Believing in the WTO is not as good as believing in your own Wallet; let's wait and see.
The gap in infrastructure cannot be filled; it's just a winner-takes-all situation.
This report seems a bit overly optimistic; 2040 is still a long way off.
The WTO predicts that AI will drive global trade to rise by 34%-37% by 2040, with insights into the underlying mechanisms and investments.
[Chain Text] The latest “2025 World Trade Report” released by the WTO throws out a heavy prediction: assuming supporting policies keep up, what can AI do in the next 15 years?
From a numerical perspective, it looks quite impressive – by 2040, cross-border goods and services trade is expected to grow by 34% to 37%, and global GDP growth can reach 12% to 13%. In other words, AI is not just about improving production efficiency; it can also significantly reduce trade costs and streamline global commerce.
But this growth will not happen automatically. The report emphasizes three key points: first, the digital infrastructure gap must be bridged, and the disparity between developed and developing countries cannot be too large; second, skill training must keep pace, otherwise the distribution of AI dividends will be uneven; third, the trade environment must remain open and predictable, which is crucial for global liquidity.
For cryptocurrency practitioners, this reflects a larger context—the global economy is accelerating its digitization and connectivity, which is why DeFi and cross-chain protocols have garnered so much attention in the past two years. In the long run, this evolution of economic structure will reshape the flow of capital.