At 3 AM, Ethereum is stuck around 2975, with a fluctuation of less than 30 points in the past 24 hours. On the surface, it seems like an eerie calm, but in reality, this is the most suppressed accumulation before a major market movement. The triangle contraction has reached a critical point, and there will definitely be significant action tonight.

There are only two possible outcomes: break upwards past 3050, possibly heading straight to 3336; or drop down through 2915, directly washing down to 2800. The middle option simply does not exist; it's that extreme.

At moments like this, watching everyone betting on price increases or decreases, setting stop losses, and guessing directions, I made a decision - to convert half of my position into stablecoins.

Why do this? Simply put, it's to survive.

If the market surges explosively, stablecoins prevent me from being overwhelmed by FOMO and allow me to layout rationally; if the market crashes downward, the value of my assets remains steadfast. Regardless of the outcome, this portion of assets is my stabilizing force.

A triangular breakout is bound to be accompanied by violent fluctuations, and the market will become extremely irrational. But with stablecoins in play, it's like I've installed shock absorbers; I can still stay clear-headed in the eye of the storm and see the true nature of the market.

More importantly, when the opportunity arises, I can strike immediately. The liquidity of stablecoins is strong enough that no matter which direction the market ultimately chooses, I can quickly follow up at critical moments without missing out on the best market conditions because I don't have cash yet.

Trading is ultimately a game of probabilities. My technical analysis may look great, but what if I judge the direction incorrectly? What can I rely on to survive? This is the core question I need to think about.

Whether bullish or bearish, this question is actually not important. What matters is: after being wrong, is your account still here? For me, stablecoins are the last line of defense. They don't care about the direction of price movements, only protecting the principal; they don't pursue volatile profits, only stable returns; they don't compete for short-term gains, but wait for real opportunities.

The triangle contraction will definitely break, but your account should not go bankrupt during this fluctuation.