A family member asked why there is no situation of "continuous decline" in my script.

That's an interesting question.

First, we need to define how long "continuous decline" lasts.

Although the subjective feeling might be "continuous decline," objectively, declines have an end.

It could be three months, six months, or a year, but the decline will always stop.

Otherwise, at a rate of 10,000 points per month, Bitcoin would be zero after about 8 months.

The reality is that Bitcoin does not experience a continuous decline.

Its declines are always limited.

And after a decline ends, a rebound will inevitably follow.

Taking 2019 as an example, the decline lasted about half a year, then rebounded.

In 2022, it declined for about three months first, then rebounded.

After a rebound, there might be a new round of decline, but the new decline still has a time limit.

(The most pessimistic large-cycle script would roughly bottom out around October 2026.)

Considering it peaked in early October 2025, a month earlier than 2021, if the mid-bear market rebound also arrives about a month earlier, it could be very close.