Polymarket traders with an 80% win rate break records, making a whopping $2.59 million from 490 predictions

2026-01-02 11:02:09

【ChainWen】Just saw some pretty outrageous data. A Polymarket trader “DrPufferfish” has been on fire recently—out of 490 predictions, he won 396 times, with a win rate of 80.82%, directly earning $2.59 million. This guy’s success rate is truly exceptional; maintaining such consistent performance in a prediction market that relies heavily on intuition is quite rare. This level of profit is considered top-tier among prediction platform players.

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SurvivorshipBias

· 01-05 11:02

80% win rate? Come on, this guy is probably just lucky. Someone will always win. --- 2.59 million dollars? Thank goodness it’s not me. I would have gone all-in and lost everything long ago. --- Making money by prediction sounds easy, but the next one could crash, only those who truly survive are the real experts. --- DrPufferfish, that’s a pretty good name. I wonder if one day it will just crash and burn. --- 490 wins out of 396? I don’t believe it. There’s definitely some survivor bias involved.

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GasFeeCrier

· 01-04 13:49

80% win rate? Is this guy using some kind of cheat... 2.59 million? No way, is that real? DrPufferfish sounds like a big shot just from the name Predictive markets are purely luck-based, but staying steady for so long is incredible 490 matches without a failure, I need to learn how he plays

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AirdropJunkie

· 01-03 04:58

80% win rate? This guy must be cheating, right? Could there be insider information? Is it really the algorithm feeding or does he have a real trick? 2.59 million directly taking off, want to learn his trading strategy? These numbers are so outrageous that I almost can't believe it. Is predicting the market really that easy to make money? DrPufferfish is quite a fitting name, swimming happily in the pool. Want to know if he's relying on data analysis or just luck? Different strategies.

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LiquidityOracle

· 01-02 16:48

I damn well said, this guy is either a real genius or there's a problem with the data. 80% win rate? In the prediction market? How is this probability calculated... 2.59 million dollars is indeed huge profit, but I don't know if it's luck or real skill. DrPufferfish is quite a fitting nickname, just fishing in the muddy waters. By the way, daring to make such data public—are they truly confident or just trying to bleed others dry?

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IfIWereOnChain

· 01-02 11:30

80% win rate? This guy must be cheating, is the prediction market really that easy to profit from?

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NftBankruptcyClub

· 01-02 11:28

80% win rate? Probably insider trading, haha DrPufferfish is really impressive, directly took off with 2.59 million Prediction markets are very much a mystical science; being this consistent is truly rare 490 wins and all successful, 396 losses, my luck is really ten streets away I’m a bit tempted to try, but it feels like paying an IQ tax again

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DecentralizedElder

· 01-02 11:27

80% win rate? This guy must be cheating, or is the market prediction really that profitable?

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NoodlesOrTokens

· 01-02 11:15

80% win rate? There must be some insider info. Who can be this steady... This data feels a bit off. $2.59 million? Relying on predictions? I still can't believe it. Did DrPufferfish cheat? Is the prediction market really that profitable? Then I have to give it a try. 490 wins out of 396 games? What kind of probability is that... I'm a bit tempted to check out Polymarket, but I'm afraid of losing. Is this the gap between geniuses and us? 80%? Even my coin flip win rate isn't that high.

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WhaleWatcher

· 01-02 11:13

2.59 million USD? This guy must have some insider information, I don't believe pure luck can be this steady. --- 80% win rate? Wow... this data is outrageous, either truly top-tier or there's a problem. --- Why is DrPufferfish's name so strange? But making 2.59 million is indeed impressive. --- Is the prediction market thing so low in threshold? Or is this guy really exceptional? --- 490 games, 490 games... I just want to know how many games it took to accumulate this win rate. --- But on the other hand, the 80% figure looks too perfect and suspicious. --- Making money like this, you'd be better off becoming an analyst; the profit margin is incredible. --- If that's true, Polymarket should hire him as a consultant haha. --- Striving to become a top player, but first you need to find that "eye" of yours. --- 2.59 million USD... that's the amount I dream of in my lifetime.

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PaperHandsCriminal

· 01-02 11:04

2.59 million? Damn, out of 490 games, I'm afraid I might be losing in all 490...

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