#美联储降息政策 The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year has directly risen to 75.6%, and the heat of rate cut expectations has instantly cooled down. The market was originally expecting some surprises in the new year, but the Fed gave a "hold" answer.

Looking at this data, there is only a 44.4% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by March, less than half the confidence. This means there is little room for liquidity improvement in the short term, which is indeed a bit awkward for the crypto circle, as rate cut expectations have always been an important factor supporting market sentiment.

But don’t be too pessimistic; at least maintaining the status quo is better than a rate hike. Now, it depends on how the economic data in the US will develop. If inflation continues to stabilize, there might still be a chance in the second quarter. Short-term, it’s better to wait and see; no need to rush.