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A new account created on December 27, 2025, has shown remarkable foresight on Polymarket.
The account has invested a total of approximately $32,537 over the past four days, specifically betting that Maduro will step down before January 31.
Transaction records show that the account made a large position on Friday evening, just a few hours before the news of military action was made public. At that time, the market's estimate of the probability of U.S. intervention in Venezuela was only around 6%.