#比特币价格与估值 New gossip again. The current situation of Bitcoin is quite interesting; the panic sentiment is not yet deep enough, which means the bottom may not have truly appeared yet. Santiment's data shows that many people on social media remain optimistic, but history tells us that when the true bottom forms, such voices usually disappear completely.

The current predictions vary widely. Some say Bitcoin could still fall to around $75,000, while others suggest it might drop to $65,000. But looking at Polymarket's betting data, the probability of reaching $100,000 this year has dropped to only 10%, and everyone’s confidence is already shaken. The probability of falling below $80,000 is actually decreasing, indicating that the market has reached a consensus within a certain range.

Honestly, the hardest part now is not predicting the direction but really figuring out if the panic is enough. Some people still insist that the bottom is just around the corner, but based on experience, when most people think this way, it often means the bottom is still far away. Let’s wait and see; only when that dead silence truly appears will it be the moment to pay close attention.