2026-01-04 18:01:10

Market Law: The Great Path — to Simplicity, Trading — Only by Key Logic

I am a crypto commander, have been in this field for eight years, experienced the moment when LUNA dropped to zero, witnessed the lively celebrations after the ETF approval for Bitcoin, and seen many newcomers who, driven by greed and fear of loss, lost everything. In reality, the logic of earning in crypto is not about numerous complex indicators, but about following the principle “The Great Path — to Simplicity” — high selling and low buying of BTC, supporting ETH, quick buying and selling of altcoins, and the iron rule “Only leaders, no opening new positions at the end of the day” — this is enough to stabilize on a volatile market.

First, about BTC, as the “beacon” of the crypto market, it does not grow in a day nor increase wealth instantly, but creates opportunities for repeated high sales and low purchases during fluctuations. The characteristic 24/7 continuous operation of the crypto market makes Bitcoin’s fluctuations more predictable, especially during volatility periods. The Billingsham indicator is the most convenient navigator: when the middle line becomes flat, and the upper and lower bounds narrow, the probability of a price rebound is very high. When the lower bound has a long lower shadow or a morning star — buy; when the upper bound has a long upper shadow or “clouds” — sell. Set stop-losses at external points of maximum and minimum, control losses at 1-2% of total capital. Profit accumulation is not a one-shot game but a long-term strategy. Many believe that high selling and low buying mean “missed opportunities,” but in fact, BTC’s trend never appears instantly. Multiple “tests of key levels — confirmation of rebound — re-breakthrough” in 2025 are a gift for the patient. Remember: the foundation of BTC trading is “not greed, not love for fighting,” — enjoy 60% profit during fluctuations and you already win against 90% of investors.

Regarding ETH, as the second-largest coin by capitalization, its trading logic has never been blind trend-following but — “capturing support and using consensus to earn.” Blockchain data has long provided the answer: $2700 is the ETH support zone, where 17.9 million ETH are concentrated, accounting for 22.6% of circulation, and this is a key zone for whales — those holding over 10,000 ETH. They increase positions at $1500 and decrease at $3500, and now buy again near $2700 — confirming the support’s effectiveness. ETH accumulation technique involves “not entering early and not chasing breakouts”: when the price returns to key support (for example, $2700 or $3000) and signals of decreasing trading volume and RSI overbought appear — buy in parts. If support is broken — immediately close the position to avoid a “gap.” In 2025, the “de-retailization” trend of ETH will become obvious; big players continue absorbing selling pressure, which strengthens support but also increases volatility. Therefore, during accumulation, strictly control volume and wait for clear stabilization signals — better to miss than to err.

The biggest test of human nature is altcoins. My principle — just eight words: “Enter quickly — exit quickly, only leaders.” Many lessons have shown that 90% of altcoins will eventually go to zero, especially those without technical support and a live ecosystem — “air coins.” When manipulators hype prices — the fall can be even harsher. In 2026, when the “altcoin market” arrives, opportunities will only be for leaders with solid logic: Solana — due to high performance, became a core investment; Cardano — thanks to stable technology, a favorite of institutions; Sui — with its innovative model, capturing the mobile sector. These leaders in a bullish trend can grow 3-5 times more than regular altcoins, and during corrections, they will be more resilient. Trading altcoins is “not loving fight and not dreaming”: when buying, set a clear stop-limit (usually 15-30%), and when reaching the target — lock in profit, avoid greedily chasing high prices. If the price drops 5% from entry — quickly close the position to avoid getting stuck. Remember: profit from altcoins is “quick earnings and small wins,” long-term holding aiming to double is risky, as it quickly turns into a deep loss or even total loss.

The last two iron rules are lessons I learned from investing real money: “Do not open new positions at the end of the day to avoid night risks.” Deep night from 2:00 to 5:00 is low liquidity and high risk of sharp drops, when even a stable daytime market can suddenly collapse due to foreign news or algorithmic trading. There were times when enthusiasts ignored this — opening large positions in altcoins at 23:00, only to be “pushed” by project developers in the morning, losing 80% overnight. My usual rule — after 21:00 do not open new positions, and before 23:00 reduce all positions to 15% of capital; if holding overnight is necessary — use a divided position mode with dynamic stop-loss, set alerts at 85% margin or hedge risk via options. Night risks are dangerous because they are hard to quickly compensate. The main strategy — preserve capital, give up night opportunities, and save strength for the next day.

In eight years of trading, I have seen many cases where people lost money due to operational complexity, and many who followed simple logic — steadily earning. In crypto — it doesn’t matter who has complex indicators and who has discipline and human control. BTC — earns on trend, ETH — on support and consensus, altcoins — on volatility, and “only leaders and end-of-day” — on safety.

The essence of trading — a game of probabilities, there is no 100% profit strategy, but following these simple rules maximizes your chances of success. The market is never devoid of opportunities, only lacking the strength to hold onto its value. Remember: earning in crypto is not hard, it’s important to keep clarity and rationality amid temptations and panic. Follow simplicity and discipline — and you will be the last survivor and winner in this game of life and death. #GateCEO2025年终公开信

LUNA-5,72%

BTC-2,33%

ETH-3,38%

SOL-2,5%

View Original

蓝柒币司令

2026-01-03 18:01:49

The Iron Rules of Survival in the Crypto World: Simplicity Is the Ultimate Sophistication, Focus on Core Logic in Trading

I am Crypto Commander. Having navigated the crypto space for eight years, I have experienced the terrifying moment when LUNA went to zero, witnessed the frenzy after Bitcoin ETF approval, and seen too many newcomers lose everything by greedily chasing highs or panicking and cutting losses. In fact, the logic of making money in crypto is never about stacking complex indicators, but about adhering to the principle of “Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication”—selling BTC high and buying low, supporting ETH positions, quick entry and exit in altcoins, plus the iron rule of “only trading the leading coins and not opening new positions at the close,” which is enough to help you stand firm in the ever-changing market.

First, let’s talk about BTC, the “Anchor” of the crypto market. It’s never about making wealth through a single day’s surge, but about repeatedly creating opportunities to sell high and buy low amid volatility. The 24/7 nature of crypto trading makes Bitcoin’s fluctuations more predictable. During sideways markets, the Bollinger Bands indicator is the most practical navigation tool: when the middle band flattens and the upper and lower bands converge, the price repeatedly bouncing off the bands is highly probable. Buying at the lower band when long lower shadows or bullish patterns like Morning Stars appear, and selling at the upper band when long upper shadows or bearish signals like Dark Clouds Cover show up, with stop-loss set outside recent highs and lows, controlling single trade losses to 1%-2% of total capital, makes profits accumulate far more reliably than betting on a single directional move. Many think that high selling and low buying easily lead to “missing out,” but in reality, Bitcoin’s trend never happens overnight. The repeated “testing key levels – confirming pullbacks – breaking through again” pattern in 2025 is a gift to patient traders. Remember, the core of BTC trading is “not greedy, not fighting,” capturing 60% of the oscillation range already beats 90% of investors.

Next, ETH, the second-largest mainstream coin, never trades on blind follow-the-leader logic but on “support level positioning and riding the consensus wave.” On-chain data already reveals the answer: $2700 is the current consensus support zone for ETH, where 17.9 million ETH are accumulated, accounting for 22.6% of the total circulating supply, and it’s also a key area for whale accumulation—these “smart funds” holding over 100,000 ETH increase their holdings at $1500 and reduce at $3500. Now, they are again deploying near $2700, which proves the support is effective. ETH’s positioning technique is “not entering early, not chasing breakouts”: when the price retraces to key support levels (like $2700 or $3000) and shows signs of declining volume and RSI oversold turning, build positions gradually; if support is broken, cut losses immediately to avoid falling into a vacuum of no anchor points. The trend of “de-retailization” in ETH in 2025 is clear—whales continue to absorb selling pressure, making support more robust, but volatility may also increase. When positioning, strict risk control and waiting for clear stabilization signals are essential—better to miss a trade than to make a mistake.

The greatest test of human nature is in altcoins. My principle is just eight words: “Quick in, quick out; only do the leaders.” Countless lessons prove that 90% of altcoins will eventually go to zero, especially those without technological support or ecological vitality—air coins. When whales pump, the crash is often brutal. The 2026 altcoin market offers opportunities only to projects with solid logic: Solana, with its high-performance ecosystem, becomes a core capital allocation, Cardano gains favor with institutions for its stable technology, and Sui, with its innovative model, captures the mobile sector. These leaders can see 3-5 times the gains of ordinary altcoins in a bull market and are more resilient during corrections. The core of trading altcoins is “not fighting, not fantasizing”: set clear take-profit targets (usually 15%-30%) after buying, take profits immediately, and never chase highs greedily; if the price drops 5% below the entry point, cut losses decisively to avoid being trapped. Remember, profits from altcoins come from “quick gains and small wins,” trying to hold long-term for doubling often turns into floating profits or deep losses, even total loss.

The last two iron rules are lessons I learned with real money: “No new positions at the close, avoid overnight risk.” The deep night from 2:00 to 5:00 is a liquidity trough and a high-risk period for flash crashes and waterfalls. Often, seemingly stable daytime markets can plunge due to overseas news or algorithmic trading. Some followers ignored advice and opened large positions in altcoins at 11 PM, only to be forced liquidated in the early morning, losing 80% overnight. My habit is to stop opening new positions after 9 PM, and by 11 PM, reduce holdings to within 15% of total assets; if overnight holding is necessary, enable isolated margin mode + dynamic stop-loss, set an 85% margin warning, or hedge with out-of-the-money put options. The danger of overnight risk is “not being able to respond in time.” The primary rule for survival in crypto is to preserve capital—giving up uncertain opportunities at the close allows you to stay in the game for the next day.

In my eight-year trading career, I’ve seen many lose money due to complex operations, and I’ve also witnessed investors who stick to simple logic steadily profit. Crypto is never about who has more complicated indicators, but about who can stick to discipline and control human nature. BTC profits come from trend riding, ETH from support and consensus, altcoins from volatility, and “only trading the leaders and not opening positions at the close” from safety.

Trading is fundamentally a game of probabilities. There’s no 100% winning strategy, but following these simple iron rules can maximize your chances of profit. The market is never short of opportunities; what’s lacking is the discipline to stay true to your principles. Remember: making money in crypto is not hard; the challenge is staying clear-headed amid temptations and remaining rational in panic. Stick to the principle of simplicity and execute strict discipline, and you will be the final survivor and winner in this life-and-death game. #GateCEO2025年终公开信

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.