2026-01-04 19:32:21

BTC price momentum is showing interesting signals right now. Based on recent market structure and on-chain metrics, Bitcoin has about a 71% probability of reclaiming the $95,000 level before month-end. What's more compelling is the 36% probability of pushing toward $100,000 during this same timeframe.

The confluence of support holds and recovering buyer interest suggests we're entering a meaningful recovery phase. Multiple timeframe analysis align with this bullish setup, indicating that the downside risks are currently capped while upside potential remains substantial.

These aren't guarantees, of course—market conditions evolve rapidly. But the current risk-reward profile is tilted favorably for long-term holders and tactical traders watching key resistance levels.

BTC-1,21%

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WalletWhisperer

· 3h ago

nah the 71% thing is just statistical noise... whale clustering patterns suggest something messier brewing tbh

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ServantOfSatoshi

· 01-04 20:01

71% to 95k? I feel like the data is all after-the-fact armchair analysis. When it really drops, they'll have to change their tune again.

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BanklessAtHeart

· 01-04 19:53

71% chance to break 95K? Honestly, this data looks pretty intimidating, just worried it might be the eve of a market reversal.

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GhostChainLoyalist

· 01-04 19:41

Where do the probabilities of 71% and 36% come from... On-chain indicators sound good in theory, but when it really counts, aren't they still vulnerable to being smashed?

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