#预测市场 Prediction markets are truly amazing… They’re not about predicting the future, but about leaking truths that are kept by a few in real-time. Capital flows themselves are intelligence—watch which options are heavily concentrated, which addresses keep betting at critical moments—secrets can’t be hidden for long.
The most outrageous thing is the Coinbase CEO incident—being directly "kidnapped" by the prediction market during the earnings call, forced to say specific words on the phone, and as a result, those who bet correctly instantly cashed out. Over $80,000 in bets was rewritten by the distortive force of reality.
What does this mean? Content is no longer the starting point of information but has become a verification tool. When everything can be bet on, and odds change not out of emotional drives but due to some "known but undisclosed" signals, this turns into a secret pressure tester.
Lüdong is now beginning to professionally track prediction markets—analyzing abnormal odds, on-chain address patterns, historical hit rates… Simply put, treating Polymarket and Kalshi as intelligence sources. AI funding, crypto project TGE, regulatory outcomes—all fall within the eyes of prediction markets.
I feel like I finally understand the true power of financial markets. This isn’t just an upgrade of speculative games; it’s a new battlefield in information warfare. 🔥
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
#预测市场 Prediction markets are truly amazing… They’re not about predicting the future, but about leaking truths that are kept by a few in real-time. Capital flows themselves are intelligence—watch which options are heavily concentrated, which addresses keep betting at critical moments—secrets can’t be hidden for long.
The most outrageous thing is the Coinbase CEO incident—being directly "kidnapped" by the prediction market during the earnings call, forced to say specific words on the phone, and as a result, those who bet correctly instantly cashed out. Over $80,000 in bets was rewritten by the distortive force of reality.
What does this mean? Content is no longer the starting point of information but has become a verification tool. When everything can be bet on, and odds change not out of emotional drives but due to some "known but undisclosed" signals, this turns into a secret pressure tester.
Lüdong is now beginning to professionally track prediction markets—analyzing abnormal odds, on-chain address patterns, historical hit rates… Simply put, treating Polymarket and Kalshi as intelligence sources. AI funding, crypto project TGE, regulatory outcomes—all fall within the eyes of prediction markets.
I feel like I finally understand the true power of financial markets. This isn’t just an upgrade of speculative games; it’s a new battlefield in information warfare. 🔥