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[37 Trillion US Dollars in Treasuries, per capita $110,000, Will It Really Explode? The Most Heartbreaking Truth Is Here]
First, the conclusion: The probability of witnessing a US debt default in this lifetime is even smaller than a meteor hitting Earth.
Why can I say that confidently?
The only way for US Treasuries to default is if the US Congress refuses to raise the debt ceiling. But within the American political game framework, this is virtually impossible—although the two parties are deeply divided, they have always united when it comes to debt issues.
The underlying logic is even more sobering: Behind US Treasuries stand the entire US tax _, military hegemony, and technological superiority. Global capital is still aggressively buying US Treasuries—by early 2026, US Treasury auction oversub_ion reached 2.5 times, which is no coincidence. The key point is that the US dollar, as the global reserve currency, is under the absolute pricing power