Does a high win rate mean account safety? Not necessarily.

Many traders fall into a common trap: believing that as long as they win more often, they can be carefree. But in the futures market, reality is often harsher—stories of account explosions frequently stem from a single fatal mistake by a high win rate trader.

The root cause is simple: a single large drawdown.

You might win 50 times in a row with a 99% win rate, but if on the 51st trade you lose control, use excessive leverage, or take an oversized position, the profits from those previous 50 wins can vanish in an instant. That’s why professional traders never rely solely on win rate—they focus more on single-trade risk management and maximum drawdown control.

The data speaks: recent account performance has been quite good, with a cumulative return of +150.53%. But more important than this number itself is how it was achieved—was it through steady small wins, or was it the result of huge fluctuations? If it’s the latter, the sustainability of this return is questionable.

True trading wisdom isn’t about high or low win rate; it’s about whether you can control your finger at any moment in the market—avoiding over-leverage, uncontrolled position increases, or reckless operations. A high win rate is just the foundation; respecting risk is what ensures the account can survive until the end.