2026-01-06 17:25:09

Recently, the market has been buzzing about how global liquidity will evolve in 2026, which directly affects the performance of assets like BTC, ETH, BNB, and others.

The Federal Reserve's stance is interesting. According to the latest dot plot, most officials are quite cautious, estimating only one rate cut by 2026, and everything depends on the data. However, the market is clearly much more optimistic—based on futures trading and predictions from some leading investment banks (such as Goldman Sachs), it is generally believed that there will be two rate cuts, likely scheduled for March and June.

What is behind this divergence? In one sentence: inflation and employment data have not yet fully settled. Additionally, do not overlook the impact of personnel changes at the Federal Reserve in 2026; the new leadership could bring fresh perspectives to the policy direction in the second half of the year. For the crypto market, these developments are worth close attention.

BTC0,33%

ETH1,15%

BNB-0,72%

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GateUser-bd883c58

· 01-09 17:21

Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates once or twice? The difference is huge, and BTC sounds completely different.

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CommunitySlacker

· 01-08 12:32

The Federal Reserve's last rate cut, but the market expects two cuts. How much BTC can this price difference sell for? Haha

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MevTears

· 01-08 05:55

The Federal Reserve folks are starting to play the tai chi again. They promised two rate cuts, but the officials are more cautious than ever. However, on the other hand, the market expects two rate cuts, which is the direction we should bet on. Goldman Sachs says two cuts, futures also indicate two cuts. We can't ignore this signal. Inflation data is still unsettled, and the Fed is about to change personnel, which is the real source of uncertainty. Wait, this logic is a bit reversed. Rate cuts are good news for the crypto world, so why are they still so cautious? Honestly, instead of guessing the Fed's intentions, it's better to see where the market's money is flowing. That’s the real truth. 2026 is still far away. All current discussions are like blind men feeling an elephant. Let's wait for the data to hit the market. The key is the personnel change at the Fed. When new leadership takes over, they will definitely change style. This must be closely watched.

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metaverse_hermit

· 01-06 17:53

The Federal Reserve and the market are once again singing off-key; we've seen this story too many times haha. Personnel changes are the real wild card; with new leadership, they might just change course entirely. Inflation data is the key; everything else is just floating clouds. Will there be two rate cuts or just one? Anyway, BTC is going to rise. I'm just worried it might be market self-hype again; when the data comes out, we'll be slapped in the face. I don't really believe the cautious attitude of Federal Reserve officials; in the end, we’ll still have to follow the market. Goldman Sachs' predictions are always after-the-fact armchair quarterbacking. If they really cut rates twice this time, then the second half of the year will have some crypto stories. Waiting to see what happens in March; it feels more important than anything else.

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OffchainWinner

· 01-06 17:39

The Federal Reserve is playing word games again, officials once, the market twice. Isn't this difference just about money... I am optimistic about Goldman Sachs' forecast. If they really cut twice, BTC must take off. --- Inflation data hasn't fully settled yet, but everyone is rushing to bet. This move feels a bit like gambling, but who asked us to buy into it. --- Personnel changes are the real trump card. When new leadership comes in and shifts policy, all previous predictions become invalid... That's why I don't really trust what officials say. --- A dot plot for a single rate cut? Don't be silly, the market is betting on two cuts. Money talks. --- Just waiting for the March and June time windows. When the time comes, we'll see the data speak; everything else is just talk. --- The real uncertainty in 2026 lies in personnel. The attitude of the new Fed Chair will determine the direction. Let's just watch the show.

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GasFeeCryer

· 01-06 17:35

The Federal Reserve is playing the "say one thing and do another" game again. The market has already set two rate cuts in stone, but officials are still pretending to be deep and serious with their dot plots. It's hilarious. Wait, personnel changes are the real variable here. When new officials take office, they often stir things up, and who knows how they'll mess around this time. Inflation data hasn't even been finalized, yet they’re making reckless moves. No wonder everyone is betting on the market side. Anyway, we're used to the Fed's unpredictability. 2026 feels like a long way off, but we really need to keep an eye on this—it's about whether my stash of coins can turn around. Honestly, I never believe in that dot plot thing. It's more reliable to watch how futures and investment banks are betting.

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CoffeeNFTrader

· 01-06 17:34

The Federal Reserve wants to mess with us again—one rate cut vs. two rate cuts. Can this gap turn the tide for BTC?

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GasFeeBeggar

· 01-06 17:28

Hmm, the Federal Reserve is playing psychological warfare again. When officials cut interest rates once, the market counts it twice. This spread can support me for half a year.

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