Are those traders on Polymarket with skyrocketing returns really making a living by "predicting"? Not necessarily.
Recently, an account went viral, with a return rate of 400,000% and a net profit of $3.8M. What's striking isn't just their keen insight, but the automated strategy behind it. Many see these numbers and assume some kind of divine prediction ability, but that's not the case at all.
The truth is simple: they're not betting on whether the outcome is right or wrong, but trading based on the price itself. That's the key.
On prediction markets like Polymarket, arbitrage spreads, liquidity fluctuations, and market sentiment swings—these are the gold mines for automated trading. Bots can continuously capture these tiny opportunities 24/7; their speed and execution capabilities far surpass manual human trading.
So, will Polymarket ban automated trading? Just look at the survival of these accounts. The platform's top traders are using bots—what does that tell you?
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TopBuyerBottomSeller
· 01-08 22:34
Whoa, 4 million USD... I need to quickly set up a bot.
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StillBuyingTheDip
· 01-08 22:08
A 400% return sounds great, but I've seen through this scam long ago. The robots are just farming羊毛.
If you ask me, the real money makers are never prediction masters; it's the quant brothers playing the arbitrage game.
That's why I still insist on manual trading—either make less money or sleep peacefully.
The Polymarket bots have long been accepted as default; the platform simply won't intervene.
I'm curious, how much of the 3.8M is due to luck?
Algorithmic trading isn't anything new; many in the crypto space are doing this. The real test will be how to handle regulation when it comes.
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LiquidatedDreams
· 01-06 22:18
A 400% return sounds impressive, but upon closer inspection, it's just arbitrage bots eating liquidity. We manual traders simply can't compete.
That's why I now want to develop a bot as well. Relying solely on manual order placement is already outdated.
Polymarket won't ban bots; instead, it will be dominated by them. The platform fundamentally depends on these liquidity providers.
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LiquidationSurvivor
· 01-06 19:56
Wow, 4 million USD just to manipulate prices with a robot? I wonder how this trick feels like it's been played out in other markets long ago...
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ArbitrageBot
· 01-06 19:56
A 400% return sounds impressive, but honestly, it's still just robots doing the homework. We manual folks really can't compete.
That's why I've always said, whether predictions are right or wrong isn't the main point; the real gold mine is the price difference.
Polymarket's official team knows this well—making the most money is actually from bots, so they just turn a blind eye.
It's another market being exploited by liquidity arbitrage.
24/7 capturing tiny opportunities—robots have the advantage, with reaction speeds truly insurmountable.
At its core, it's still a game of information asymmetry; human reaction speed can't keep up.
But this logic is a bit like how those in finance ultimately rely on automation—manual trading is already outdated.
In this case, how much do you think of the $4 million case is due to luck?
This tactic is exactly the same as high-frequency trading in traditional markets—just a different skin.
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LiquidatedThrice
· 01-06 19:42
Bro, this is the real truth. I was foolishly thinking I could make money on Polymarket just by "eyeing" it...
I should have realized it earlier, arbitrage bots are the way to go. Manually monitoring the market is just suicide.
View OriginalReply0
MintMaster
· 01-06 19:36
No way, really? 4 million dollars made by robots, and I'm still manually bottom-fishing.
View OriginalReply0
ForkItAllDay
· 01-06 19:31
Wow, so that's why I always feel suppressed by robots... Turns out it's all arbitrage monsters having their meals.
Are those traders on Polymarket with skyrocketing returns really making a living by "predicting"? Not necessarily.
Recently, an account went viral, with a return rate of 400,000% and a net profit of $3.8M. What's striking isn't just their keen insight, but the automated strategy behind it. Many see these numbers and assume some kind of divine prediction ability, but that's not the case at all.
The truth is simple: they're not betting on whether the outcome is right or wrong, but trading based on the price itself. That's the key.
On prediction markets like Polymarket, arbitrage spreads, liquidity fluctuations, and market sentiment swings—these are the gold mines for automated trading. Bots can continuously capture these tiny opportunities 24/7; their speed and execution capabilities far surpass manual human trading.
So, will Polymarket ban automated trading? Just look at the survival of these accounts. The platform's top traders are using bots—what does that tell you?