On January 28th, the market was eagerly anticipating—yet the mirror was very different; it might not happen at all.

The probability of the Federal Reserve holding steady this time approaches 90%. It doesn’t sound like a dovish turn, nor is it a surprise rate cut; ultimately, it’s just one word: delay.

What is the most familiar task in the farmland? Usually these types: bad news that never materializes, good news that is always delayed and never fulfilled, retail investors’ emotions repeatedly rubbed until numb.

The current routine is laid out:
Retail investors bet "once the rate cut is announced, it will take off," but the big players are squinting and waiting for "that wave of sharp decline after expectations completely shatter."

No rate cut ≠ all bad news exhausted; instead, it’s a test of patience—who can hold on longer, and whose chips will be handed over first.

If January 28th truly ends silently and nothing happens, you will understand one principle:
Emotions decline, but chips quietly change hands in the dark.

Those truly capable of pushing the market are often not the ones who explode at the moment of good news announcement, but rather, they quietly start when most people begin to give up and turn bearish.

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