2026-01-07 09:30:15

The choice between contracts and spot trading has actually long had no definitive answer. The real dividing line is—whether you understand when to make your move.

Some still believe in the theory that "holding spot assets long-term will always turn around." But the reality is brutal: stories of assets shrinking to only 10%-20% of their peak happen every day. Relying on a market cycle to multiply your holdings tenfold? That’s a fairy tale from the last cycle. The market no longer gives small investors such opportunities.

While certain coins experience explosive growth, funds are scattered in a mess. Targets capable of doubling in value are becoming increasingly rare. In such an environment, a coin rising 50 times has become a low-probability event. Conversely—consistently capturing a 10%-30% increase in each cycle is already a pretty good achievement.

Holding spot assets tightly and frequently trading contracts are essentially gambling. The only difference is one is a slow gamble, the other a fast one. Those who truly survive learn to think in waves. They don’t care how low the starting point is or how high the end point might be—they focus only on the segments of the market they can understand and handle.

As the market becomes more professional, volatility will gradually decrease, and opportunity windows will close. The future belongs to two types of people: those with enough capital to deploy across the entire market, or those with strong technical skills to precisely catch fluctuations. #以太坊大户持仓变化 $ETH Mainstream coins like this will still have opportunities, but only if you have a sense of rhythm. Don’t chase full positions, don’t bet on long-term, find the nodes you can control to enter and exit—this is the logic of surviving long-term.

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MetaverseHobo

· 01-09 07:56

The bandwagon thinking is spot on, much more reliable than just holding and frequent all-in bets. Holding spot for ten years still results in losses; it's better to aim for a 10%-30% profit. Big players are engaging in meticulous operations, while retail investors are still waiting to multiply tenfold. The gap in perspective is too wide. Sense of rhythm is the most critical; only a few can enter and exit precisely. Are the full-position traders still alive... seriously asking. The opportunity window is really closing; it feels like each cycle's opportunities are shrinking. ETH and other mainstream coins are more stable, but timing still matters.

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MoonRocketTeam

· 01-08 14:32

Wave band thinking is indeed the only posture to survive; going all-in is equivalent to suicide [thumbs up] Really, the dream of multiplying tenfold is dead. Now, celebrating a 10%-30% increase is enough. The key is still the sense of rhythm. If you can't hit the rhythm accurately, even the best coins are useless. Mainstream coins like $ETH should be bought and sold strategically; don't think about going all-in at once. How many people's dreams are hurt by this tone... but it is truly honest words. Rockets need stable ascent, which relies not on one-time fuel but on precise orbital adjustments. The skill of positioning is more valuable than holding coins for a longer time. The era has truly changed.

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BoredWatcher

· 01-07 10:00

The idea of swing trading is well said, but in reality, most people simply can't do it... It's easy to say, but a single tremble of the hand can lead to a full position.

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StableBoi

· 01-07 09:58

The concept of swing trading makes sense, but very few people can actually do it. Most still have a gambler's mentality, just under the name of "investment."

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PumpStrategist

· 01-07 09:53

Wave band thinking is well said, but most people simply can't do it; greed will consume people. The most interesting point in this paragraph is—10%-30% returns are truly attainable, but human nature is easily tempted by stories of 50 times gains. The distribution of chips is already very clear; only those two types of people can really survive. Holding onto spot positions tightly and frequently shuffling are essentially the same—both are gambling. The only difference is the speed of risk release. If you really want to seize this wave, the key is to have a sense of rhythm, not reckless full-position operations. Honestly, the market sentiment indicator is already overheated; many people are still chasing the rise, a typical leek mentality. ETH at this position is interesting, but I am currently observing volume and MA trends, not in a hurry. It sounds very clear-headed, but in actual operation, there's a high chance of being pulled in by FOMO [laugh-cry], human nature is just like that.

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just_another_wallet

· 01-07 09:42

Wave band thinking is indeed the only way to survive; the era of full positions is long gone. Now if someone tries to sell me a tenfold coin, I just smile and say nothing. Both futures and spot trading are traps; the key is whether you have a sense of rhythm. Earning a steady 10% in each cycle is already good enough; don't think about unrealistic gains. Diversifying funds is really painful; many coins are all losing money. Mainstream coins have opportunities, but you need to position yourself precisely. I'm becoming more cautious. It's much harder to make money now than before; the market has indeed become more professional.

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OptionWhisperer

· 01-07 09:35

Wave thinking is correct, but 99% of people simply can't stay disciplined. --- It's easy to say, but in actual operation, it still depends on your mindset for trading. Without real skills, you'll still blow up. --- Earning 10-30% may sound unsexy, but it's actually the strategy that lasts the longest. --- So in the end, it's still about exploiting information gaps and execution. Ordinary people find it very difficult. --- Long-term holding of spot assets is indeed outdated, but don't casually touch leveraged contracts either. The satisfaction from one successful trade can be gone in an instant. --- Sense of rhythm is really mysterious; it all feels like after-the-fact armchair analysis. --- Are mainstream coins out of the game? Then new coins are dead too. Being stuck in the middle is the most awkward position. --- Not holding a full position and not considering short-term trading sounds like denying your original intention. Who hasn't thought about going all-in at once? --- People with large capital are basically just lying back and winning; for us retail investors, isn't what we're fighting for just swings? --- So the key is to find your "most understood part," but the problem is, how do you find it?

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Annie'sLegend

· 01-07 09:31

New Year Wealth Explosion 🤑

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