2026-01-07 10:20:58

Let's talk about my understanding of the current market situation.

The logic isn't complicated: after a top, the market dropped nearly 70%. The current position is right in the range of repeated oscillations before the historical breakout. There is about 10% room for short-term options below.

In such an environment, selling puts indeed has a good safety margin. Because the top hasn't truly overextended, and the rebound mechanism is still in place, even if the market continues to fall and you get caught, there will at least be a rebound to escape—this is what I consider a relatively safe approach.

Of course, my operational idea is: not to completely avoid overextension, but to gradually build positions using oversold signals combined with inverted pyramid orders. The worst-case scenario is also clear—if it continues to fall, a rebound can still help to break even. This reduces psychological pressure significantly.

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RektButStillHere

· 01-07 10:49

Selling puts is indeed a safe move, but your mindset is even more important than the strategy itself. A rebound escape opportunity? I feel like the rebound is the real trap. The inverted pyramid strategy works, but I'm worried about the mindset collapsing first. A 70% decline, and now claiming the bottom? I find it hard to believe. Less psychological pressure? That means you haven't truly lost enough yet. I agree with this logic, but the premise is that a rebound will really come.

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MondayYoloFridayCry

· 01-07 10:48

A 70% drop is really quite intense, but on the other hand, this kind of situation actually offers good opportunities. As long as the rebound mechanism is still in place, it's reassuring. Selling puts is indeed stable; as long as you're not greedy, it's fine. I'm also using the inverted pyramid strategy. But honestly, a 10% margin is a bit uncomfortable. If you're caught, you'll have to wait for a rebound to get out. Your approach is steady, but don't think about going all-in at once. Got it.

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FlashLoanPhantom

· 01-07 10:46

I'm a bit tempted by the idea of selling puts... but can we really trust a 70% decline? The inverted pyramid order setup is indeed stable, but I'm just worried the rebound won't come. This brother's mental preparation is quite good; I need to learn from him. Historical level before the rise? Just waiting to be proven wrong. I only half believe in the rebound mechanism in this sentence.

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WalletManager

· 01-07 10:25

A 70% decline, viewed from a different perspective, is an opportunity to build positions. The key is whether you dare to hold onto your chips. I also operate the inverted pyramid this way, just worried that my mindset might collapse first. Short-term options still have 10% room, and you must keep an eye on private key security. Don't get caught by phishing contracts. There's really no need for precise bottom-fishing at this level; just rebound and escape is enough. Greedy ones are already trapped at the top. Signals that are not oversold combined with order placement make sense; it all depends on whether the discipline of execution is strict enough.

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