2026-01-07 10:30:15

#数字资产行情上升 CPI data is coming, can Bitcoin break above 100,000? The key is not the whales, but this data. Today, using quantitative trading strategies, we analyze why an economic data release can influence BTC's short-term trend.

**Expected vs. Actual Price Gap**

The market has already been digesting the story of "continued inflation slowdown." The real profit opportunity isn't in the positive news itself, but in the price difference created when expectations fall short. If CPI is lower than expected, the Fed's rate cut expectations will heat up, providing a positive stimulus for risk assets. Conversely, the opposite is true.

**What are Market Makers Doing?**

You see the candlestick oscillations? That’s market makers suppress volatility and clear leverage before the data release. Both long and short contracts are being repeatedly liquidated. The big players are currently holding back, waiting for the moment when the data is released to confirm the direction.

**Numbers Speak**

BTC's current core support is in the 88,500-90,000 range, with resistance at 95,000-96,500.

Scenario for positive CPI data: The 9.5K resistance level will be broken, and the 100K target price is not a pipe dream.

Scenario for negative CPI data: First test the key support at 87K downward, then decide the direction.

Retail traders tend to guess the direction before CPI release, but they usually end up with only one outcome. The smart approach is to focus on breakout levels rather than blindly betting.

BTC1,81%

ETH-0,15%

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defi_detective

· 01-10 10:30

Once again, the expectations fall short. To put it nicely, it's just gambling on data. The key is that retail investors can't keep up at all; by the time you understand the K-line, the big players have already run away.

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LightningPacketLoss

· 01-09 13:58

Here comes more data to cut the leeks; this time, can you stop counter-trading against me?

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GasFeeCryer

· 01-07 21:20

Retail investors guessing the direction is just pure money transfer. I'll wait for the data to be implemented and directly profit from the fluctuations... 100,000 doesn't seem that simple.

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MerkleMaid

· 01-07 10:58

It's the same old routine of dashed expectations; retail investors are always the ones getting caught in this cycle of being harvested again and again.

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DataChief

· 01-07 10:56

Talking about the expectation gap again? Those who are really making money stay silent. It's already too late when they speak up.

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ApeShotFirst

· 01-07 10:56

Bro, this CPI thing really confuses retail investors. I just want to ask—are we really betting on the data or on the market maker's intentions?

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ser_ngmi

· 01-07 10:54

It's the same old story, expectations vs. reality, hearing it so often that my ears are getting calloused. But on the other hand, if this wave of data really surprises everyone, it could indeed be a turning point... Let's wait and see, anyway I can't afford to bet.

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NotFinancialAdviser

· 01-07 10:48

It's the same old argument of "playing the expected price difference"—heard it a hundred times. Whenever CPI data is released, there's always someone taking a heavy loss. Retail investors have already been harvested to the point of losing everything.

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