2026-01-07 11:22:36

This Friday could become a rather bad trading day in 2026. According to data from the prediction market, approximately 79% of traders are betting that the court ruling will be unfavorable to Trump. It’s worth noting that he previously announced that the US could generate over $600 billion in revenue through tariff policies.

Once the lawsuit is lost, a chain reaction will follow. Importers may receive large refunds on tariffs, and the government, in an effort to stop the bleeding, will inevitably initiate a new round of tariff hikes to make up the shortfall. During this back-and-forth, market liquidity could experience significant fluctuations, and trade tensions will likely escalate.

It seems that nothing looks very good—either facing liquidity shortages or hitting the uncertainty of trade policies, and investors’ risk-averse sentiment is also building up. This kind of situation always reminds people of those dark moments in history.

However, the market has always been full of surprises. Ultimately, how it will unfold depends on the details of the ruling and how subsequent policies are implemented.

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HappyMinerUncle

· 4h ago

79% of people bet that the court ruling will be unfavorable to Trump. That's quite intense; it feels like bloodshed on Friday is inevitable. Once the 600 billion yuan cake falls through, importers' refunds plus the government's new taxes—who can withstand this back-and-forth? But honestly, this kind of situation can also be an opportunity. After a dark period in history, a rebound often follows. It all depends on who can hold on until the end. Let's wait and see the details of the ruling. It feels like the market is already holding back a big move.

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HalfBuddhaMoney

· 01-07 11:50

79% of people are bearish? That probability is a bit scary. It feels like the market has already digested most of the bad outcomes, making a reverse move more likely.

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TokenTherapist

· 01-07 11:48

79% of people are betting that Trump will fail. How will the tariff drama end then... I'm really a bit anxious. --- Liquidity crunch? Trade friction heating up? This rhythm feels a bit familiar. --- Everyone is so pessimistic that it actually makes me want to buy the dip, just afraid the market will reverse again. --- Talking about 600 billion nicely, but I didn't get a penny of the loss claim. Repeated policy tinkering is really ruthless. --- Is the dark hour coming again? Anyone with a bit of experience should know that now is the time to stay calm.

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AltcoinTherapist

· 01-07 11:43

79% of people guessed correctly? This time, it looks like a bloodbath is coming.

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NFTragedy

· 01-07 11:37

79% of people got it right? Then I think the reverse operation might be the way out; isn't that how history has played out?

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LuckyBlindCat

· 01-07 11:36

What is the 79% chance of losing? Then you'd better prepare some snacks this Friday and wait for the reversal. --- It's tariffs, refunds, and filling gaps again... Feels like it's always the same routine. Will the market really follow the script? --- Oh my, this kind of uncertainty is the most annoying. I just want to make money peacefully, no more of these虚的 (虚的 can mean "虚假" or "虚幻", but context suggests "虚的" as in "虚假的" or "虚幻的" - something虚的). --- Dark times? No problem, I've seen too many of those. Anyway, we all come back alive in the end. --- Wait, does this mean liquidity might explode? Should I cut my positions first? --- The 600 billion dollar pancake was blown away in the end? Haha, I give this plot a full score. --- Judgment details and policy follow-up... Basically, we still don't know. So let's keep gambling.

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