When I entered the crypto world in 2017, I only had $3,600 in my account. People around me were getting liquidated on futures, mortgaging their houses, but my account curve always maintained an upward trend at a 45° angle. Over 8 years, my principal has never been pulled back more than 8%. It’s not because I have insider information, nor do I rely on airdrops or K-line mysticism. Honestly, I treat the market like a gambling machine and act as the "casino boss."
The core logic is actually very simple, broken down into three key actions:
**First, lock in profits to add protection**
The moment I open a position, I set take-profit and stop-loss orders. Once profits reach 10% of the principal, I immediately withdraw 50% to a cold wallet and continue rolling the remaining "profit" for further trades. What’s the benefit of this? If the market continues to rise, you can enjoy compound interest; if it reverses, you only give back at most half of the profit, keeping the principal as stable as a mountain. Over 8 years, I’ve taken profits 41 times in total. The most I’ve withdrawn in a single week was $200,000. Later, I was even contacted via video call by exchange customer service to verify if I was laundering money — that was a bit awkward at the time.
**Second, misaligned position building to find opportunities across multiple cycles**
For the same coin, I look at three timeframes simultaneously: daily, 4-hour, and 15-minute. The daily chart is used to determine the overall direction, the 4-hour to identify consolidation zones, and the 15-minute for precise entries. I open two positions on the same coin — Position A enters on a breakout with a long, with a stop-loss placed at the previous low on the daily chart; Position B uses a limit order to short in the overbought zone on the 4-hour chart. Both stop-losses are strictly controlled within 1.5% of the principal, and take-profit is set at over 5 times.
80% of the market time is oscillation. While others get liquidated here, I profit on both sides. During the Luna crash in 2022, when the price plummeted 90% within 24 hours, both my long and short positions closed with profits, and my account increased by 42% in a single day. Volatile coins like $CHZ and $GNO respond best to this method.
**Third, treat stop-loss as a ticket to seize big opportunities**
View the 1.5% small risk as an entry ticket. When the market is good, I move the take-profit to let profits run; when the market is bad, I exit decisively. After years of trading, my win rate is actually only 38%, but the ratio of profit to loss is 4.8:1, with a mathematical expectation of +1.9%. That means, for every dollar risked, I can reliably earn $1.90. If I can catch two trend waves per year, my returns can surpass bank savings.
There are also three operational details to note: First, divide your funds into 10 parts, use at most 1 part per trade, and never hold more than 3 positions at once; second, after two consecutive losses, shut down and go to the gym — never open revenge trades; third, whenever your account doubles, take out 20% to buy US bonds or gold, so even if a bear market comes, you’ll have peace of mind.
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GamefiHarvester
· 01-07 11:57
A 38% win rate can still be profitable; how good is that math? I feel like I'm always part of the 80% losing group.
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RektButStillHere
· 01-07 11:56
Honestly, a 38% win rate and still winning passively—this mindset is really tough.
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faded_wojak.eth
· 01-07 11:52
Wow, this guy managed to play 3600U with this set of logic until now? That's pretty impressive.
View OriginalReply0
Liquidated_Larry
· 01-07 11:38
38% win rate earns 4.8 times, I took half a day to figure out this math problem before I believed it, truly astonishing.
When I entered the crypto world in 2017, I only had $3,600 in my account. People around me were getting liquidated on futures, mortgaging their houses, but my account curve always maintained an upward trend at a 45° angle. Over 8 years, my principal has never been pulled back more than 8%. It’s not because I have insider information, nor do I rely on airdrops or K-line mysticism. Honestly, I treat the market like a gambling machine and act as the "casino boss."
The core logic is actually very simple, broken down into three key actions:
**First, lock in profits to add protection**
The moment I open a position, I set take-profit and stop-loss orders. Once profits reach 10% of the principal, I immediately withdraw 50% to a cold wallet and continue rolling the remaining "profit" for further trades. What’s the benefit of this? If the market continues to rise, you can enjoy compound interest; if it reverses, you only give back at most half of the profit, keeping the principal as stable as a mountain. Over 8 years, I’ve taken profits 41 times in total. The most I’ve withdrawn in a single week was $200,000. Later, I was even contacted via video call by exchange customer service to verify if I was laundering money — that was a bit awkward at the time.
**Second, misaligned position building to find opportunities across multiple cycles**
For the same coin, I look at three timeframes simultaneously: daily, 4-hour, and 15-minute. The daily chart is used to determine the overall direction, the 4-hour to identify consolidation zones, and the 15-minute for precise entries. I open two positions on the same coin — Position A enters on a breakout with a long, with a stop-loss placed at the previous low on the daily chart; Position B uses a limit order to short in the overbought zone on the 4-hour chart. Both stop-losses are strictly controlled within 1.5% of the principal, and take-profit is set at over 5 times.
80% of the market time is oscillation. While others get liquidated here, I profit on both sides. During the Luna crash in 2022, when the price plummeted 90% within 24 hours, both my long and short positions closed with profits, and my account increased by 42% in a single day. Volatile coins like $CHZ and $GNO respond best to this method.
**Third, treat stop-loss as a ticket to seize big opportunities**
View the 1.5% small risk as an entry ticket. When the market is good, I move the take-profit to let profits run; when the market is bad, I exit decisively. After years of trading, my win rate is actually only 38%, but the ratio of profit to loss is 4.8:1, with a mathematical expectation of +1.9%. That means, for every dollar risked, I can reliably earn $1.90. If I can catch two trend waves per year, my returns can surpass bank savings.
There are also three operational details to note: First, divide your funds into 10 parts, use at most 1 part per trade, and never hold more than 3 positions at once; second, after two consecutive losses, shut down and go to the gym — never open revenge trades; third, whenever your account doubles, take out 20% to buy US bonds or gold, so even if a bear market comes, you’ll have peace of mind.