Having navigated the crypto market for these years, the deepest realization is one sentence: surviving is more important than chasing quick profits.

Why can some people steadily grow their holdings while others frequently get liquidated? It's often not because of superior prediction skills, but because of meticulous risk management. Here are a few trading frameworks I have repeatedly validated:

**Position Management is Fundamental**
Divide your funds into 5 parts, investing only one-fifth at a time. The advantage of this approach is—each mistake only costs 2% of your total capital; five mistakes add up to a 10% loss. Conversely, just three correct judgments can turn the situation around. Set a 10-point stop-loss and a 10-point take-profit; mathematically, this setup is naturally advantageous.

**Following the Trend is the Key**
Rebounds during a downtrend are often traps, while pullbacks during an uptrend are usually accumulation signals. Many people like to buy the dip, but in reality, buying on the rise often has a higher success rate. Coins that have experienced short-term surges (whether mainstream or altcoins) rarely have big moves afterward—examples like $BREV are numerous. Stagnation at high levels is a signal; lack of momentum will naturally lead to a pullback.

**Technical Indicators Aid Decision-Making**
Using MACD well can save a lot of trouble. When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line and break above zero, it’s a relatively safe entry signal. Conversely, when a death cross occurs above the zero line and moves downward, consider reducing your position. Volume is the soul of the crypto market—pay attention to volume spikes during consolidations and breakouts at low levels, and be decisive when volume surges at high levels but price stagnates, especially with volatile coins like $DOGE.

**Averaging Down and Adding Positions Are Two Different Things**
Adding more when losing is the most common fatal mistake in trading. Only consider increasing your position when in profit; doing so while losing is akin to gambling.

**Choose Trading Cycles Based on Moving Averages**
Focusing only on coins in an uptrend maximizes your chances with minimal effort. A short-term trend is indicated by a 3-day moving average turning upward; a medium-term trend by a 30-day MA turning upward; a main upward wave is confirmed when an 84-day MA turns upward; and a long-term trend is established when a 120-day MA turns upward. Select your trading cycle accordingly.

**Reviewing Past Trades is Essential for Progress**
Every trade is worth reviewing. Does your holding logic still hold? Is there divergence in the weekly K-line? Has the trend reversed? Regularly reviewing and adjusting your strategy can save you many detours over the long run.

The crypto market never stops; only by adopting a systematic mindset can you find certainty amid volatility.