The era of top institutions casting wide nets is over.
Recently, the founder of a leading market maker and investment firm publicly stated that the market is shifting from rapid expansion to refined operations. This signal is quite significant — the investment logic is quietly being rewritten.
Let's look at the data — in 2025, only 23 projects were invested in, but nearly 600 companies were reviewed. In other words, the approval rate is only 4%. What does this mean? Out of 20 seemingly promising companies, only 1 can secure funding. The淘汰 process is quite intense.
There's also a detail worth considering. They specifically emphasized that investment decisions are completely independent of market-making activities — meaning they do not invest in projects just to gain market-making rights. This indicates that their investments are genuinely promising projects that can stand the test of time. The component of professional judgment is becoming more prominent.
From an investment structure perspective, it’s also quite clear. The focus is mainly on early-stage projects, predominantly Seed and Pre-Seed stages, using flexible instruments like equity, SAFE, and token warrants. This reflects that institutions value long-term companionship more and hope to align with the founding team’s vision. Short-term arbitrage strategies are now outdated.
Behind this shift are two core changes:
**A 180-degree shift in mindset**. During the last bull market, FOMO-driven broad casting and multiple positions were common. Now, the focus has shifted to cautious, in-depth, value-oriented selection. The psychological state is completely different.
**Higher standards and thresholds**. A 4% approval rate indicates that technical strength, team capability, economic model design, and market potential — all these evaluation dimensions — are being prioritized more than ever. Only truly capable projects can stand out.
The cooling down of the primary market is an inevitable trend. Even top institutions are this cautious, making it increasingly difficult for mediocre projects to secure funding, and market bubbles will gradually be squeezed out.
What does this mean for retail investors? The risks of chasing concepts and following hype around air coins are outrageously high. Future opportunities will be more concentrated in projects with solid fundamentals, reliable teams, and clear directions.
Deeper down, institutions are actively preparing assets for the next cycle. As individual investors, we also need to adjust our mindset — less chasing, more research, and focus on projects that can truly withstand cycles and hold onto them.
When the smart money in the market withdraws its wide nets and begins to strike precisely, we should understand one thing: the era of abundant gold is over. The next phase will be a test of vision and resilience.
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LiquidityNinja
· 01-11 10:40
4% pass rate? Impressive, this really leaves no room for air coins.
I've said it before, the reckless broad-sweeping approach during the bull market is dead. Now we can see who truly has strength.
Institutions are starting to select carefully, are retail investors still following the trend? Wake up, everyone.
This round is about screening genuine gold and silver; fake projects should indeed be eliminated.
To put it plainly: gamble less, do more research, and find projects that can survive three to five years.
Institutional strategies are quite clever, laying out plans for the next cycle in advance.
The long-term holding logic is the right approach; the era of quick flips is truly over.
View OriginalReply0
DegenWhisperer
· 01-08 14:55
4% pass rate... Now they're really starting to cut the leeks
Politely called curated, unkindly it's the big players' circle getting smaller and smaller, and we retail investors have even less chance
Wait, they invest in early projects but still require such strict scrutiny? Doesn't that mean our copying window is even shorter...
No hope, better to study diligently. The days of relying on luck are truly over
View OriginalReply0
DeFiChef
· 01-08 14:49
4% pass rate, this is truly the real ticket in
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Here we go again, after institutions finish a round of cutting, they start telling stories
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Talking about independent decision-making, I just lol
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Early projects are indeed hard to grab, but who can see through this round
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Retail investors' opportunity is to wait for institutions to stumble and then pick up the bargains
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Holding long-term? You first need to find the truly good project
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From casting a wide net to precision, it sounds good, but in reality, it's just about who can raise funds faster
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Projects with solid fundamentals have already been internally digested
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Higher thresholds make air coins more active, this is the current situation
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I'm tired of hearing the word 'cycle crossing,' let's see if we can survive this bear market first
View OriginalReply0
LayerZeroHero
· 01-08 14:48
4% pass rate? Now that's real competition, it should have been like this a long time ago.
Institutions have woken up, retail investors are still dreaming.
So now those pushing air coins are just here to make money?
Finally someone dares to tell the truth, this round should eliminate the bad projects.
Well said, the era of short-term arbitrage is really over.
That's why I only look at whitepapers now, not market cap.
4%? Then how can the projects I believe in survive?
It's so difficult to get selected by institutions, how should retail investors play?
Agreed, vision and patience are the ultimate winners.
If you saw this trend early, you should have shifted now.
View OriginalReply0
FortuneTeller42
· 01-08 14:47
4% pass rate, this is true inner competition
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Oh no, I have to do homework again. Short-term arbitrage really has no chance
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My goodness, only 23 out of 600 reviewed? Then my project definitely has no chance
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Selected strategies... Basically, even big institutions are starting to play safe
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Looking at this signal, it's finally time to burst the bubble. Retail investors should wake up
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Early projects are indeed more attractive, but the prerequisite is having the insight to distinguish who is a real project
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Only those who survive this wave are truly worth taking
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That FOMO mentality really should die. How many people are still waiting for the wind to turn?
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4%... I calculated, this ratio is even harder than passing a civil service exam, unbelievable
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So projects without fundamentals should really pack up and leave
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Institutions are starting to "precisely hunt," while retail investors are still shooting wildly. The gap is quite big
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Long-term companionship vs short-term arbitrage, the difference in mindset is huge
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Separating market-making rights from investment, now that's professionalism. The old approach was too shallow
The era of top institutions casting wide nets is over.
Recently, the founder of a leading market maker and investment firm publicly stated that the market is shifting from rapid expansion to refined operations. This signal is quite significant — the investment logic is quietly being rewritten.
Let's look at the data — in 2025, only 23 projects were invested in, but nearly 600 companies were reviewed. In other words, the approval rate is only 4%. What does this mean? Out of 20 seemingly promising companies, only 1 can secure funding. The淘汰 process is quite intense.
There's also a detail worth considering. They specifically emphasized that investment decisions are completely independent of market-making activities — meaning they do not invest in projects just to gain market-making rights. This indicates that their investments are genuinely promising projects that can stand the test of time. The component of professional judgment is becoming more prominent.
From an investment structure perspective, it’s also quite clear. The focus is mainly on early-stage projects, predominantly Seed and Pre-Seed stages, using flexible instruments like equity, SAFE, and token warrants. This reflects that institutions value long-term companionship more and hope to align with the founding team’s vision. Short-term arbitrage strategies are now outdated.
Behind this shift are two core changes:
**A 180-degree shift in mindset**. During the last bull market, FOMO-driven broad casting and multiple positions were common. Now, the focus has shifted to cautious, in-depth, value-oriented selection. The psychological state is completely different.
**Higher standards and thresholds**. A 4% approval rate indicates that technical strength, team capability, economic model design, and market potential — all these evaluation dimensions — are being prioritized more than ever. Only truly capable projects can stand out.
The cooling down of the primary market is an inevitable trend. Even top institutions are this cautious, making it increasingly difficult for mediocre projects to secure funding, and market bubbles will gradually be squeezed out.
What does this mean for retail investors? The risks of chasing concepts and following hype around air coins are outrageously high. Future opportunities will be more concentrated in projects with solid fundamentals, reliable teams, and clear directions.
Deeper down, institutions are actively preparing assets for the next cycle. As individual investors, we also need to adjust our mindset — less chasing, more research, and focus on projects that can truly withstand cycles and hold onto them.
When the smart money in the market withdraws its wide nets and begins to strike precisely, we should understand one thing: the era of abundant gold is over. The next phase will be a test of vision and resilience.