Friday's opening is imminent, and there are a few things worth paying attention to.



First, on the policy front. The Ministry of Commerce just announced at its routine press conference that it will conduct an assessment investigation on Meta's acquisition of the AI platform Manus. The logic behind this move is quite clear—last April, Manus disbanded its domestic team, with core personnel relocating to Singapore, and by the end of the year, it was sold to an American company. This series of operations involves sensitive issues such as technology export and cross-border data transfer. The Ministry of Commerce's intervention essentially signals: domestic AI startups can't play this way in the future. For domestic software and cybersecurity companies, this is a positive signal, at least ensuring that local technological innovation won't easily flow overseas, creating a protective space for domestic companies' technological integration.

Next, let's look at the market. Today, the A-shares market clearly outperformed the Hong Kong stocks. There was a style rotation—sectors like military industry, photovoltaic equipment, and domestic software performed well, but many of the top gainers were concept stocks lacking performance support. In contrast, larger-cap tech companies performed relatively flat. The Hong Kong market looked even worse, with Hengke once dropping over 2%, remaining in a correction phase.

Why is this happening? The core reason is that the domestic economic fundamentals have not yet shown a significant improvement. However, after the market sentiment improves, liquidity is no longer tight, so funds flow into small and mid-cap stocks. Today, the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices slightly declined, but the number of advancing stocks exceeded decliners, showing a typical style shift. The key going forward is whether the hype around these themes can be sustained.

Looking ahead to tomorrow: the index is likely to consolidate with reduced volume. The Shanghai Composite Index may test the 5-day moving average for support, around 4069 points. Once support is confirmed effective, there will be a rebound opportunity, targeting 4099 points. During this kind of oscillating consolidation, opportunities mainly focus on thematic sectors. The military industry sector has already fully fermented today and has become the new main line of the market. Tomorrow, it will be important to observe whether this momentum can be maintained.
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VCsSuckMyLiquidityvip
· 01-11 12:13
This move by the Ministry of Commerce essentially keeps a livelihood for domestic software and security companies.
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ChainMaskedRidervip
· 01-10 05:15
If the military industry can't run ahead of tomorrow, it will be another wave of concept harvesting... Technical protection sounds good, but can domestic companies really seize this opportunity?
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MiningDisasterSurvivorvip
· 01-09 04:53
It's just another concept hype; I've been through this cycle before. Without any improvement in fundamentals, pouring money into small and mid-cap stocks—wasn't the lesson from 2018 enough? Domestic software protection space? Wake up, the trend will turn and die out in no time. The military industry sector won't last a few days; just wait for the next capital pump.
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BearMarketSurvivorvip
· 01-08 15:05
If this wave of the military industry doesn't gain momentum, I'm going to be screwed. The capital rotation is starting, brothers.
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SybilSlayervip
· 01-08 15:01
How long can the military industry sector sustain this wave? It feels like another concept hype.
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FloorPriceWatchervip
· 01-08 15:00
The Ministry of Commerce played a clever move, blocking the route of technology outflow.
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CryingOldWalletvip
· 01-08 14:58
Military industry is back again. Is this really happening, or is it just another attempt to trap retail investors? It seems like the concept is being hyped without much performance support.
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VirtualRichDreamvip
· 01-08 14:48
The military industry sector is taking off again, concept speculation really never stops. Bloodshed in the Hong Kong stocks, but A-shares are still more attractive. Manus, this matter should have been investigated long ago; the technology delivery is too casual. I don't quite understand stocks lacking performance support; how long can this rise last? 4069 sees support and buys the dip? I think it's uncertain; let's keep observing. Small and mid-cap stocks are partying, while big tech is sitting on the sidelines. This style switch is a bit aggressive. How long can the domestic software concept run this time? Let's see the performance on Friday.
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DefiPlaybookvip
· 01-08 14:46
According to on-chain data, the TVL inflow from this wave of military industry concepts is indeed accelerating, but a risk warning—concept stocks lacking performance support usually carry higher liquidation risks. From three perspectives: policy protection space has indeed created a window, but whether the 4069 point support level can be effectively confirmed still depends on trading volume; otherwise, the rebound will be illusory. The flow of funds into small and mid-cap stocks is essentially a "liquidity re-pricing" process, so be careful not to get caught at a high position. Suggestion: Allocate main positions to assets with actual revenue support, and avoid blindly following concept hype. Historical data shows that the sustainability of such style shifts lasts only about 5-7 trading days on average. Can the theme maintain inertia? Based on past experience, the key is whether tomorrow's trading volume can increase by more than 20% compared to the previous day.
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AllInAlicevip
· 01-08 14:36
The military industry is starting to hype again, feeling like the same old tricks as last year.
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