#密码资产动态追踪 It is said that the Federal Reserve may implement a significant rate cut this year, amounting to 150 basis points. Is this credible?

According to the latest signals, Federal Reserve policymakers are indeed releasing related information. Simply put, the tightening of liquidity in recent years may be reversed, using rate cuts to stimulate employment and economic growth. How obvious is this shift? To be straightforward, it’s from "balance sheet reduction" to "liquidity injection."

Looking at history—during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 pandemic shock—the Fed has followed this pattern each time. When a rate cut cycle begins, it means the dollar’s appreciation potential is limited, and the dollars in hand become less valuable. Where will the idle funds in the market go? They will definitely flow into higher-yield assets, such as stocks, real estate, commodities, cryptocurrencies, and more.

What is the direct impact on the crypto market? Very straightforward—positive.

The logical chain is as follows: Rate cuts → USD depreciation → Reallocation of funds → Search for high-risk, high-reward assets. Assets like $BTC and $ETH are considered "alternative investments" in traditional finance. Especially now that spot ETFs have been approved, making entry and exit easier for large institutions, the friction for capital inflow has greatly decreased. Once the funds really start flowing in, the prices are likely to be pushed higher.

But here’s a key point—markets never move in a straight line upward. The reality is often a wave-like rise, filled with oscillations, shakeouts, and dips. Players with less psychological resilience can easily be shaken out during these pullbacks.

So, how should one respond? Here are some practical suggestions:

First, position management is crucial. Don’t use all your bullets at once; keep some cash in reserve. The benefit of this is that during market pullbacks, you can add to your positions, and during rises, you won’t regret it. This follows the classic "pyramid" operation principle.

Second, focus on the trends of $BTC and $ETH. These two are the most liquid and tend to be the most stable during market rallies. Other altcoins can be observed, but avoid heavy positions—they carry significantly higher risks.

Third, avoid high-leverage contracts. Although liquidity is improving in this cycle, volatility still exists. Overnight liquidations happen to those who go all-in on contracts. Stick mainly to spot trading, use contracts as a supplement, or even consider abandoning contracts altogether.

Finally, if you already hold positions—especially if you built them during previous dips—the most important thing now is to hold steady. Being shaken out is the biggest loss because you might exit at the bottom and then watch the market rally.

The Fed’s policy shift indeed opens up more imagination for the crypto market. But this process won’t be a straight line; patience and mental resilience are required. In the coming months, different sectors may rotate upward, and managing the rhythm is more important than blindly chasing highs.