2026-01-08 15:22:30

Many people are optimistic about Bitcoin's recent upward trend, but what risks are hidden behind it?

From the supply side, the 95,000 coins in inventory will take time to be fully absorbed. After the short-term correction phase passes, BTC indeed has the potential to break through the $95,000 mark and even approach $100,000. This upward process looks very tempting.

But the problem is—this rise may only be an illusion. History shows that significant increases are often accompanied by sharp declines. This time is no exception. Based on technical and fundamental analysis, the next larger downward cycle may be brewing. In the worst case, we might see Bitcoin fall back to the $60,000 level or even lower.

In other words, the current rebound is very likely just a trap to lure in buyers. Investors need to stay alert and not be blinded by short-term gains. This is not an encouragement to panic, but a rational analysis based on historical experience. Proper risk management is the best way to deal with this uncertainty.

BTC1,7%

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AltcoinMarathoner

· 01-11 05:55

okay but here's the thing—this reads like mile 20 energy to me. everyone panicking about the pullback, but zoom out to the weekly and the accumulation phase is still intact tbh. yeah 60k is possible, sure, but if you're not DCA-ing through this volatility you're kind of missing the point of the whole marathon.

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RetailTherapist

· 01-10 02:51

Here we go again with the argument of harvesting the little guys, tired of the tricks of诱多陷阱 Is it really that easy to go from 95,000 to 100,000? I think someone is trying to create panic to buy the dip Historical experience is outdated, do you know that the market has changed?

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IronHeadMiner

· 01-08 15:51

The so-called trap of诱多 has been heard too many times. Every time, they say it will crash to 60,000. So what happened? You're just spreading alarmist rumors again. It takes two to three months to deplete the inventory. How do you know it won't rise again during that period? This logic is a bit absurd. They talk about risks and then about historical patterns. Are they analyzing or just storytelling? It's already 2024, and they're still using the theory of "a rise must precede a sharp decline." Do they really think we're all just leeks? I agree with risk management, but don't package uncertainty as inevitability. That's a bit pretentious.

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GateUser-beba108d

· 01-08 15:50

The trap of诱多 is getting tired of hearing this explanation, always shouting the same thing Another bearish view, how is the figure of $60,000 calculated? Short-term rebounds are all called traps, so when will the real rally come? Anyway, you still have to hold your position; waiting on the sidelines for the bottom is even more uncomfortable

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MEVSandwich

· 01-08 15:44

You're trying to trick us again, I've heard the saying about诱多陷阱 (诱多 trap) too many times. Is this really the case this time, or is the wolf really coming again? Who can say for sure? Why does 100,000 feel so close yet so far away? Will 60,000 really retest? I can't bet on it. Anyway, it's a matter of taking hits from both sides. Everyone, prepare to cut losses.

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BlockchainFries

· 01-08 15:43

诱多陷阱？又来这套，每次都这么说 Let's just watch and see, anyway the $100,000 suspense is big enough Why weren't there so many prophets before 60,000 yuan? Bro, your calculations are so detailed I've heard about risk management so many times my ears are worn out, but some people still refuse to change their gambling nature Can historical experience be used as money? The market changes just as it pleases

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