Everyone, let's be honest—short-term fluctuations aren't that scary. Those who can truly benefit from the market are often those who aren't driven by panic.
Today, I want to talk about this Meme coin, which is a recent case for me. I entered with 200 stablecoins, and now my position has increased 50 times. My genuine belief is that this is far from the ceiling. Why do I say that? Not based on intuition, but by analyzing the market logic and chip movement.
Recently, my backend has been overwhelmed with questions like "Should I liquidate immediately after listing on mainstream exchanges?" Honestly, most of the friends asking this are probably scared off by several rounds of shakeouts. My core judgment is simple: the current sell-offs are mainly from retail investors who can't hold; the large-scale funds haven't even stepped through the exit door yet.
Here's a knowledge point to add. Meme coins without project teams are completely different from projects with team backgrounds—no pre-mining, no team unlock schedules. The so-called "selling pressure" is essentially early holders cashing out profits. This particular token has been hovering around 0.12 for a full 40 days. What does that mean? I compared it to recent hot projects like Pieverse, FHE, etc., which usually have a main upward wave within 5 to 7 days. What does a 40-day cycle imply? Early low-cost chips have long been fully rotated. If they really wanted to sell, why wait so long? Smart whales distribute gradually within consolidation zones, which allows them to get better average prices without disturbing the market. This is the rational approach of capital.
Looking at the current trend, as soon as it hits 0.2, some people are eager to dump. Behind this move is actually a mindset issue.
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LiquidationOracle
· 01-11 13:03
Really, a 40-day sideways movement indicates that the chips have already been exchanged long ago. Those dumping now are just mindless.
Retail investors are easily shaken out; the main force hasn't even thought of it.
0.2 at this price? Not yet, just hold on and it'll be fine.
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ShibaSunglasses
· 01-11 08:46
Turning 200 into 50 times that amount—that's the price you pay for not fearing volatility. Some people just die on the words "liquidation."
No, I have to get on and take a look. I still feel this wave isn't over.
Retail investors are really easy to shake out and get scared. Big funds haven't even entered yet, and people are already selling off. It's a classic reverse indicator.
A 40-day sideways trend—do you dare say it's unimportant? That's accumulation, understand?
But honestly, I'm a bit wary of coins without project teams. Making quick money is easy to turn into a loss, and even easier to get burned.
It's only at 0.2 and already making you anxious, which shows the main players still want to play. Keep paying attention.
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RealYieldWizard
· 01-11 04:04
It's still talking about stories even after 50x, that's the part I just can't understand, buddy.
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What does 40 days of sideways trading indicate? I actually think maybe no one is willing to take the risk anymore.
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What are retail investors afraid of? The main players also need to sell, if others are eating meat, at least we can drink soup.
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Here comes the same old chip analysis again. Why did the previous few predictions all fail?
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0.2 to dump? Normal operation, who doesn't want to lock in profits?
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Hearing about 200 bucks multiplying 50 times sounds pretty exciting, but how many of these cases end up zero?
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Main players haven't exited? Then who was selling all along when it was sideways at 0.12 for 40 days?
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I've heard this logic too many times. Should the next sentence be "it will rise ten more times"?
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Feels like they're just waiting for the later investors to take the bait. Is it a mindset issue? Haha
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SatoshiHeir
· 01-08 15:53
It should be pointed out that this article precisely demonstrates the fiat currency mindset trap I have been criticizing—using short-term chip games as a cover for value investing. 40 days of sideways movement ≠ sufficient turnover; this logic will be easily shattered in the face of on-chain data.
View OriginalReply0
LayerHopper
· 01-08 15:53
40 days of sideways trading is really a sufficient signal of high turnover; this point of argument is interesting. However, retail investors still can't change their habit of chasing highs and smashing the market haha.
View OriginalReply0
VitaliksTwin
· 01-08 15:51
It's been a while, but we still have to see how it develops later. The 40-day sideways movement is indeed interesting, but I'm just worried it might be another trap.
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GasFeePhobia
· 01-08 15:51
Haha, a 50x turnaround is indeed fierce, but I still think this wave is probably survivor bias. Retail investors have long been scared off.
Honestly, I can accept the logic of sideways trading at 0.12 for 40 days, but the idea that the main players' average distribution price is beautiful... just listen to it, serious institutions wouldn't bother so much.
Bro, don't trust the market logic too much. Meme coins are just gambling. While they can turn 50x, some people also go bankrupt and lose everything—that's the real truth.
Wait a minute, if the early chips have completely changed hands according to this logic, how much selling space do retail investors still have now? Isn't that a contradiction?
They say retail investors should be crushed if they can't hold on, but if all retail investors sell out, who will take over later? Your account doubling depends on them.
View OriginalReply0
OnchainGossiper
· 01-08 15:45
Still talking about stories even after 50x, I really can't hold it anymore.
View OriginalReply0
ZenChainWalker
· 01-08 15:36
Hmm... 40 days of sideways trading without selling, I can't really hold that logic anymore. The main players will get tired too, haha.
The group of people who dump when it breaks 0.2 just don't understand the distribution of chips. They insist on betting on the main players' mentality, just for fun.
View OriginalReply0
rug_connoisseur
· 01-08 15:28
40 days of sideways trading without selling? I bet on this move by the main force, keep holding and watch the show
Everyone, let's be honest—short-term fluctuations aren't that scary. Those who can truly benefit from the market are often those who aren't driven by panic.
Today, I want to talk about this Meme coin, which is a recent case for me. I entered with 200 stablecoins, and now my position has increased 50 times. My genuine belief is that this is far from the ceiling. Why do I say that? Not based on intuition, but by analyzing the market logic and chip movement.
Recently, my backend has been overwhelmed with questions like "Should I liquidate immediately after listing on mainstream exchanges?" Honestly, most of the friends asking this are probably scared off by several rounds of shakeouts. My core judgment is simple: the current sell-offs are mainly from retail investors who can't hold; the large-scale funds haven't even stepped through the exit door yet.
Here's a knowledge point to add. Meme coins without project teams are completely different from projects with team backgrounds—no pre-mining, no team unlock schedules. The so-called "selling pressure" is essentially early holders cashing out profits. This particular token has been hovering around 0.12 for a full 40 days. What does that mean? I compared it to recent hot projects like Pieverse, FHE, etc., which usually have a main upward wave within 5 to 7 days. What does a 40-day cycle imply? Early low-cost chips have long been fully rotated. If they really wanted to sell, why wait so long? Smart whales distribute gradually within consolidation zones, which allows them to get better average prices without disturbing the market. This is the rational approach of capital.
Looking at the current trend, as soon as it hits 0.2, some people are eager to dump. Behind this move is actually a mindset issue.