As of the evening of January 8th, CHZ (the native token of Chiliz, a sports token) has not experienced the same World Cup-level surge seen in 2022. However, with only 5 months remaining until the 2026 USA-Canada-Mexico World Cup, there is indeed a short-term expectation for a rally—though whether it will actually rise is not a certainty.

Let's first look at the fundamentals of this coin. CHZ is the native token of Chiliz/Socios.com, primarily used for issuing and trading fan tokens, in other words, it benefits from the dividends of major sports events. Historical data is quite straightforward: during the 2022 World Cup, the coin's price surged from about $0.2 to nearly $0.5, a gain of over 150%. Currently (January 8th), the price is $0.0397, with some minor retracement in recent weeks. However, it’s clear that funds are quietly accumulating, just not yet with significant volume.

Why is there potential for a rise? There are three main drivers: first, the World Cup itself will boost trading activity; second, Chiliz is partnering with more clubs and events; third, the Chiliz Chain ecosystem is expanding, increasing the user base. But there are also considerable pressures—liquidity conditions in the broader crypto market, regulatory attitudes, and early investors trapped at high prices eager to take profits—all of which could suppress the rally.

If we are to predict the rhythm, the most likely scenario is a short-term rally starting 1 to 3 months before the event (roughly between March and May). Specifically, if volume breaks through the resistance at $0.05–$0.06, it could test the $0.08–$0.1 range. Conversely, if it falls below the support at $0.03, warning signals of weakening should be heeded.

Operationally, in the short term, it’s advisable to participate with a light position, gradually building a position in the $0.035–$0.038 range, with a stop-loss at $0.03. Once volume breaks through $0.05, consider adding to the position. In the medium term, about 1 to 2 weeks before the World Cup opening, gradually reduce the position to lock in profits—don’t wait until the good news is fully realized, or you might regret it, as that’s likely the start of a retracement.