2026-01-08 15:33:47

Recently, Ethereum's price movement has shown an interesting technical contradiction. In the short term, the 1-hour RSI indicator has surged to 79.6, entering the severely overbought zone. However, from a different perspective on the 4-hour cycle, the RSI is only at 33.2. This "inconsistency" is known in technical analysis as a bearish divergence.

What does this contradictory signal usually imply? According to historical data, about 92% of similar technical divergences are followed by a unilateral move exceeding 10%. In other words, the market is about to make a decision.

More importantly, pay attention to the price level. The 3075 line consolidates support significance across multiple timeframes — this is not an arbitrary line but a key resistance level resonating across multiple cycles. If this line is broken, the subsequent downside space could be quite substantial.

The appearance of an upward trend on the daily chart can be somewhat misleading. The real market information is hidden within the internal structure — buy orders are gradually retreating, and the short-term surge momentum is out of sync with the medium-term trend. This is often a typical sign when major funds are testing resistance above.

The next 12 hours are a critical window. The market faces two possibilities: either rebound around 3075 to confirm support (a golden pit appears), or break downward to seek the path with the least resistance. Based on historical experience, when technical signals are so extremely asymmetric, the probability of a downward move is often higher. For traders, the current strategy should be to closely monitor the performance of 3075 — whether it can hold or not will directly determine the next market direction.

ETH0,97%

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TaxEvader

· 01-11 14:24

Is the 3075 line really that sacred? I feel like someone always says that every time... --- 92% probability? Sounds impressive, but I only trust my stop-loss orders. --- Main capital testing? Laughable, sticking to my own logic is more stable. --- Divergence signals are everywhere, but which one is the real deal? --- Just waiting to see if 3075 can hold, the answer will be clear in 12 hours. --- Buy orders gradually retreating... I've heard this phrase too many times, but what was the final outcome? --- Instead of looking at technical indicators, it's better to watch how the market moves. --- In such an extremely asymmetric situation, I think it's easier to be fooled by the line. --- Golden pit? Breakout? Pick one, don’t try to gamble on both sides. --- Hidden information in the internal structure... sounds quite profound, but in practice, cash is still king.

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LiquidityNinja

· 01-11 01:52

Is this 3075 line really that strong? It feels like the main force is just trying to scare us.

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BlindBoxVictim

· 01-09 17:05

It's the same old technical analysis tricks again, 92% probability? I don't believe you. --- If 3075 can't hold, let's just wait to get cut. --- Damn, this divergence is really starting to be hard to bear, we'll see within 12 hours. --- Main force testing resistance? Haha, basically they're trying to probe where our stop-loss orders are. --- Golden pit? More likely a golden trap, haha. --- Every time they talk about key support and key resistance, but none of them can hold. --- Whether 3075 breaks or not, my stop-loss order has already run away. --- This analysis looks pretty reliable, but I still trust my gut a little more. --- Hitting 79.6 is seriously overbought? How did we survive before? --- Monitoring 3075? I'll just monitor the speed at which my account balance drops.

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fomo_fighter

· 01-08 16:01

Breaking 3075 means game over, hold this line tightly.

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OldLeekMaster

· 01-08 15:46

92% probability of big volatility? Is that true, or is it one of those data points that come after the fact? --- If you can't hold the key level at 3075, should I just go all-in on short positions? Feels like the main players have already figured it out. --- Divergence stuff loses its effectiveness the more people hear about it; it still comes down to volume. --- Oh man, another 12-hour watch on the screen. Let's wait until a break happens; anyway, I've already lost my bottom line. --- Ethereum signals are so frequent every day, but in the end, it still rises and falls randomly. I choose to trust my instincts. --- Wait, are you saying the golden pit is coming or is it going to drop? That's a bit confusing, bro. --- This RSI data is ridiculous. Overbought is overbought, no need to talk about divergence; it's a waste of time. --- Holding onto 3075 is the key; if it breaks, I'll admit defeat and exit. Anyway, I'm already numb from this round.

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4am_degen

· 01-08 15:40

If 3075 breaks, I think I need to run --- It's that RSI divergence again, so annoying --- Golden pit? I bet it will break straight through --- Where's the promised 92%? Why am I always stuck in that 8% --- Short-term overbought, mid-term oversold, what are the main players doing this time? --- Waiting for 3075, just place a stop-loss order before bed --- Internal structure is very important, but I only look at candlestick charts --- See you in 12 hours, no need to analyze so much data anymore --- Multi-timeframe resonance sounds intimidating, but it's really just testing if it can be pushed down --- The pullback in buying volume is the least valuable; the main players will run whenever they want

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defi_detective

· 01-08 15:40

If 3075 breaks, I'll admit defeat; if not, I'll keep holding it in.

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DefiPlaybook

· 01-08 15:35

There is up to a 92% probability of a rebound at most. According to on-chain data, signals of this kind of divergence are mostly noise. Can 3075 really hold? I think the main force has already been testing it. It’s worth noting the detail of buy-back retracement. To be honest, when extremely asymmetric technical signals appear, the market often operates in the opposite direction. The 12-hour window is full of uncertainties.

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