2026-01-08 15:40:09

#美国贸易赤字状况 In simple terms, the US trade deficit isn't something that can be solved just by imposing a few tariffs. Where is the root cause? First, the special status of the dollar as a reserve currency; second, the hollowing out caused by industrial offshoring over the years; third, the societal habits of high consumption and low savings. These three factors stacked together make the trade deficit inevitable.

By 2025, this number will fluctuate and may seem quite complex. But upon deeper reflection, it still boils down to one issue—the economic imbalance between developed countries and manufacturing nations within the global division of labor system. Relying solely on trade measures is a superficial fix; real adjustment requires systemic changes in industrial structure, savings patterns, and consumption habits. Short-term policy fluctuations cannot hide this long-term trend.

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OfflineNewbie

· 01-10 12:28

The old trick of imposing tariffs has long been played out, it's just treating the symptoms not the root cause... The real issue is the dollar hegemony causing the problem. It can't be fundamentally changed. Americans just love to consume, with savings rates exploding to low levels. This habit won't change overnight. The hollowing out of industries is a deep pit that can't be filled in a year or two. These fluctuations in 2025 are just surface-level articles; no one can change the long-term trend. Black question mark... If we really want to solve the trade deficit, do we have to cut Americans' desire to consume? Is that even possible? Basically, it's a systemic issue, not an economic one. Forcibly imposing tariffs will only accelerate inflation.

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GateUser-afe07a92

· 01-09 17:56

Tax increases? That's superficial; the real issue is fundamental. --- Exactly, the status of the US dollar is just a golden finger; anyone would play by these rules. --- Addicted to consumption, savings mindset needs to change, but can it really change? --- Hollowing out of industries is the most critical problem; tariffs are just a false alarm. --- What’s the point of fluctuations in 2025? The long-term trend is right here. --- Systemic reform is not easy; short-term policies just need to appease the public. --- The three factors stacking up, a trade deficit is basically unavoidable. --- Finally, someone has cut through the nonsense; it's not just about raising taxes. --- Under the global division of labor system, this is destiny; the US has to accept it. --- Without changing the industrial structure, all the fuss is pointless.

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QuorumVoter

· 01-09 03:57

Imposing tariffs won't fundamentally solve the core problem, that's right.

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FUD_Whisperer

· 01-08 16:06

An inevitable product of dollar hegemony, adding tariffs is like a band-aid that treats the symptoms but not the root cause; the core still needs to return to the two main areas: industry and savings.

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RuntimeError

· 01-08 16:04

That's right, the US really deserves a beating. They have a strong desire to consume but don't want to produce, and still want to pressure others with tariffs.

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airdrop_huntress

· 01-08 16:03

The so-called dollar privilege is essentially a moat for vested interests; trying to challenge it is more difficult than climbing to the sky.

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TopBuyerForever

· 01-08 16:02

The tariff game has been played out long ago. The US has hollowed out its own industries and still wants to shift the blame? The real root cause is the hollowing out of manufacturing. Raising taxes is just putting a band-aid on the symptoms. At the end of the day, it's a bad habit fostered by dollar privilege. Changing consumption habits is pointless. Systemic problems require systemic reforms; otherwise, we'll just keep messing around. If the high consumption and low savings habit were truly changed, I might believe it. But in reality? Heh.

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CrossChainMessenger

· 01-08 15:51

It can't be fundamentally changed; the dollar seigniorage right determines all this. Tariffs are just superficial; the real root cause lies in the system. That's correct. The societal habit of high consumption and low savings cannot be changed, and a trade deficit cannot be fundamentally resolved. Systemic issues cannot be solved by adding a few tariffs; the analysis is quite clear. The dollar privilege is holding it up. In the short term, nothing much will be apparent, but in the long run, adjustments are inevitable.

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