2026-01-08 15:50:12

#2026年比特币价格展望 The Fed's rate cut expectations are gradually weakening. Over the past two days, both Bitcoin spot and derivatives ETF have experienced net outflows, totaling nearly $700 million. It seems the market is giving a clear answer — liquidity has indeed cooled down.

From a high of 95k, it has retraced to around 90k. Many are starting to worry: Is this rally coming to an end?

Don't rush to make a conclusion. From a technical perspective, the daily chart currently shows a consolidation pattern between 85k and 94k. As long as it doesn't effectively break below the 85k support level, the overall upward trend remains intact. But honestly, aiming for a quick rebound straight to the 100k mark is not quite mature under current conditions.

Several key levels to watch:

· 94k is the critical upper boundary; only if it holds here can we look towards the 106k high
· 90k has been broken once; if it falls below again, support will depend on whether the 87k to 85k zone can hold
· If 85k also fails to hold, the nature of this correction may need to be reassessed

Currently, market enthusiasm has noticeably cooled, and the eagerness to chase gains has diminished. But from a long-term institutional allocation perspective, the basic logic remains unchanged. For short-term trading, it's much simpler: try small positions near the lower band for longs, consider taking profits near the upper band during rebounds, and follow the trend if a breakdown occurs. Don't chase oscillations in the middle range.

Remember one thing: On the real bull market road, sharp declines are common. What’s most needed now is mindset and patience — panic is not the answer. Manage your positions well and let the market gradually tell us the next move. $BTC

BTC3,28%

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CryptoMotivator

· 01-09 13:23

85k, I won't panic unless it's broken. That's how the oscillation range should be played. Before a breakdown, it's all opportunities. Don't chase highs blindly. Losing your composure is even worse than losing money. Just wait and see. Funds are indeed shifting, but institutions are still accumulating. Once 94k stabilizes, then it's our turn to celebrate. The real opportunity is when panic selling occurs.

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MevSandwich

· 01-08 19:22

If I can't hold 85k, I'll admit defeat. Anyway, I've already halved my position.

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AirdropDreamBreaker

· 01-08 16:20

If 85k can't hold, then we really need to recalculate this round of the market --- If 94k can't break through, don't even think about 106k. Now is the time to test patience --- Weakening rate cut expectations lead to capital withdrawal? That logic is a bit absurd. Isn't the opposite also true? --- Institutions are accumulating coins, retail investors are fleeing. Old tricks, and some still believe in them --- I'll get in at 87k. Anyway, I've already stabilized my mindset. It all depends on who can hold out until the end --- People say that sharp drops on the way to a bull market are common. I think it's just a motivational speech from a big influencer --- Wait for 85k, that's the real entry point. Those chasing the rally now will get cut once --- When the heat cools down, it's actually a good thing. Only after clearing out the chives can we go further

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NFTBlackHole

· 01-08 16:19

If I can't hold 85k, I'll just go all-in on the short side. Don't talk to me about bull market logic.

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degenwhisperer

· 01-08 16:14

If you can't hold 85k, then you really need to rethink. Right now, mindset is the most important.

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MoonBoi42

· 01-08 16:14

If you can't hold 85k, it's really time to panic. Now, it's just waiting for the market to play out on its own.

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AlwaysQuestioning

· 01-08 16:03

85k, can this line really hold? Feels a bit uncertain. --- When liquidity cools down, does it mean the market is gone? Not necessarily, institutions are still slowly accumulating. --- It's both technical and support level analysis, in other words, it's about luck. --- If 94k doesn't hold steady, don't even think about 100k, be realistic. --- Short-term volatility is the most annoying in this kind of market; you can't make big money and you're easily trapped. --- Mindset and patience—these words are heard every time there's a market move, but it's still hard to hold on. --- If 85k really breaks, I'll admit defeat and exit, not fighting the market. --- The figure of $700 million outflow sounds pretty scary, but the main point is that the basic logic of institutions hasn't changed. --- Trying long positions at the lower band with small size, and taking some profits at the upper band—easier said than done, execution difficulty is off the charts. --- Panic? I've long lost any emotions; I just watch the candlestick charts.

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