#美国贸易赤字状况 Midday Market Notes: $BTC The Dilemma of $ETH 's Rebound

The recent two days of long positions haven't gone as expected. Several stop-loss orders were triggered, which is a bit embarrassing. To be honest, I apologize to everyone and need to reflect on this. Trading is like that—one misstep can easily lead to chaos. If you don't hold onto your high positions, then try to short, but your eyes are still on the rebound opportunity, always hoping to catch a low long, and when the rebound hits and pressure pushes down, your longs are forced to be cut. This pitfall needs a thorough summary.

The strategy moving forward needs adjustment: don't be greedy, don't try to chase both short and long positions at the same time. Focus on one direction and protect your profits on that side—that's the painful lesson.

**What to look for in Bitcoin's technical analysis?**

On the hourly chart, the price has already returned above the lower band. KDJ and RSI have turned upward from oversold areas, showing rebound momentum. But the problem is—on the 4-hour chart, the price hasn't yet broken above the upper band, and the MACD bearish momentum hasn't significantly weakened, so it's hard to say the correction is over. Rather than expecting a big rebound, it's better to see where the market goes. When a rebound occurs, consider shorting in the high positions. Don't chase longs anymore. Those longs trapped without stops should consider breaking even or taking small losses—that's the wise choice.

Resistance levels are at 91500, 92500, and 93500—these are the key points where shorts can be positioned. Support levels below are at 90500, 89500, and 88500.

**Ethereum is in a similar situation**

Key levels above are 3130, 3180, and 3230—short positions can be arranged here. Support below is at 3080, 3030, and 2950.

**Final thoughts**

Some believe because they want to see; others see because they believe. When following the trend, the market shapes you; against the trend, the market teaches you how to be human. I used to think the most despairing thing was heartbreak, but I later understood—eyes hollow is true death of the heart. Never be pessimistic; close your eyes and sleep, and when you wake up, there will be a new story.