Prediction markets are pricing in some interesting odds on Bitcoin's near-term trajectory. According to recent data from Polymarket, there's currently a 29% probability that Bitcoin will break through the $100K barrier during January. The gap between current sentiment and that prediction level is worth monitoring—whether the market expects consolidation or a stronger breakout in the final stretch of Q1 could shift these odds meaningfully. What's your take on these numbers?
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GasFeeBarbecue
· 01-08 16:52
29%? Ha, it feels like the market hasn't made up its mind yet, a feeling of being on the brink of collapse.
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OnchainGossiper
· 01-08 16:52
29%? Feels like those folks at Polymarket are playing the probability game again. Anyway, at this time of year, everyone just wants to stir up trouble.
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MoonlightGamer
· 01-08 16:49
29%? Haha, that odds feel a bit low. I think the probability of breaking 100,000 should double.
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WagmiOrRekt
· 01-08 16:29
29% feels a bit low, are these Polymarket folks again betting against?
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ChainSpy
· 01-08 16:29
29% is too conservative, I feel it will be higher.
Prediction markets are pricing in some interesting odds on Bitcoin's near-term trajectory. According to recent data from Polymarket, there's currently a 29% probability that Bitcoin will break through the $100K barrier during January. The gap between current sentiment and that prediction level is worth monitoring—whether the market expects consolidation or a stronger breakout in the final stretch of Q1 could shift these odds meaningfully. What's your take on these numbers?