ZEC's recent downward trend has indeed been fierce. Dropping from 512 to 396 in one go, a decline of over 110 points, the momentum is quite strong. This kind of dumping method looks rough, but a careful look at the chart reveals some peculiarities.



Previously, those repeated provocative injections were clearly testing selling pressure—main players probing frequently to gauge market willingness to buy. This doesn't seem like a simple decline; it looks more like the final clearing out. In terms of magnitude, a 17% drop is considered violent, but combined with decreasing volume and a rebound, it actually signals that large orders are almost fully filled.

From the strong rally at the 412 level, this could be the end of the trap to shake out the shorts. If it continues upward back to around 500, the cost will be quite high—roughly a 20% increase in expenses. The current position is quite awkward; hesitating further will only make the cost of catching the bag more expensive. Once the price starts to rebound and approaches the previous high, those chasing the rally will easily find themselves trapped in high-position buy-ins.
ZEC1,07%
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LayoffMinervip
· 01-10 11:45
It's the same trick again—when the big players are full, they dump the market, and we end up as the bagholders.
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GasFeeSobbervip
· 01-10 09:15
I really didn't expect this wave of ZEC to drop so sharply; that pullback at 412 directly revealed the main force's intentions.
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PanicSellervip
· 01-08 16:55
Yeah, this wave does have some tricks, the main force played us all --- Injecting needles to test the market pattern is a common tactic, but it's still easy to get caught --- Is the 412 rebound a trap? I'm scared --- Don't persuade me to buy the dip, I got cut last time at 396 just like that --- The nightmare of catching the bag at high levels is back? --- Falling so sharply, it feels like the bottom hasn't arrived yet --- Is the signal of shrinking volume and retesting reliable, everyone? --- 500? I wouldn't dare to take this position even in my dreams --- Fake out, fake out, and as a result, I was the one fooled in --- This position really is torturous now --- When the main force is full, we have to catch the bag, the logic is eternal
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MevHuntervip
· 01-08 16:55
It's the same old story. Once the big players are full, they start telling stories, and we're retail investors still guessing.
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MissedAirdropBrovip
· 01-08 16:53
Once again, a dump. This time ZEC is playing wildly. The main force's tactics are truly exceptional.
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BlockchainDecodervip
· 01-08 16:46
From a technical perspective, the shrinking volume during this sell-off is indeed intriguing. According to microstructure theory, large sell pressure usually accompanies increased trading volume, but here we see a volume contraction during a retest, indicating a paradox—either the main players are defending the market or they have already largely completed their liquidation. The analysis of the inducement spike was quite good, but I want to ask in return: does a 17% drop really mean the main players are full? Historically, such sharp declines are often a prelude to reorganization of the chips. The probability of the 412 rally continuing upward back to 500 may not be as low as imagined... This position is indeed awkward now, but don’t forget—what the market fears most is not the decline itself, but the uncertainty of the direction. Continuing to observe the trading structure and on-chain data is the key.
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MetaMiseryvip
· 01-08 16:30
This wave of ZEC is really a liquidation. Once it was pushed up at 412, it was clear that the main players had already taken their fill.
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