2026-01-08 17:25:02

Recently, the New York Federal Reserve released the December Consumer Expectations Survey results, and the data is quite sobering. Consumers' inflation expectations for the next year have risen from 3.2% in November to 3.4%, indicating that everyone is feeling the pressure of inflation.

More notably, the performance on the employment front is worth paying attention to. Consumers estimate that their probability of finding a new job after losing one is only 43.1%—the lowest in the survey's history since mid-2013. In other words, market confidence in the employment outlook has fallen to a decade-low.

The divergence between these two data points actually reflects the real dilemma within the Federal Reserve: some officials are more worried about a rebound in inflation, while others believe the risk of rising unemployment is greater. This disagreement directly affects whether the policy meeting at the end of this month can smoothly adjust interest rates. Whether to continue stabilizing inflation or to prioritize employment, the decision-makers clearly haven't settled on a stance yet. For the market, this uncertainty itself is a variable.

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MEVHunterZhang

· 01-11 17:23

43.1% unemployment re-employment rate, the lowest in over a decade... how desperate is that The Federal Reserve's wavering this time, retail investors are the biggest losers Inflation and unemployment soaring together, choosing either one means taking a hit Wow, once this data comes out, the market will definitely become volatile again Feels like everyone is starting to accept their fate

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NotFinancialAdvice

· 01-11 17:22

43.1% Find a job? Laughing out loud, this data is really incredible Inflation and unemployment hitting at the same time, the Federal Reserve is playing a tricky game Federal Reserve: I'm in a tough spot, no matter what decision we make this time, we'll get criticized Uncertainty is the scariest, more painful than a direct rate hike The lowest in over ten years, do all the retail investors feel it? Stabilizing inflation or protecting employment, there's never a standard answer to this multiple-choice question The room for maneuver is getting smaller and smaller, it's hard to hold on

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NeverVoteOnDAO

· 01-11 16:20

43.1% re-employment probability? That number is really incredible, the lowest in over ten years. With inflation and unemployment pressing down simultaneously, the Federal Reserve is in a tough spot. Now it's a gamble on how the Federal Reserve will choose in the end; it feels like someone has to get hurt. This wave of uncertainty is the most terrifying, more heartbreaking than any data.

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Deconstructionist

· 01-10 09:08

43.1% unemployment re-employment rate, a ten-year low, this is the cost of the Federal Reserve playing with fire. Inflation hasn't been contained yet, and employment is about to collapse. Can we really not have both fish and bear's paw? Uncertainty is the greatest certainty; the capital markets are just playing along with this.

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DefiPlaybook

· 01-08 17:54

43.1% This data is indeed shocking, the lowest in over ten years. --- Rising inflation expectations and a sharp decline in employment confidence—The Fed is trying to have it both ways, hilarious. --- According to data, such policy divergence itself is the biggest risk factor, directly affecting the volatility of on-chain assets. --- So, whether to cut interest rates or not, the market has to guess for itself. --- 3.4% inflation expectation vs. 43.1% employment dilemma—this contrast is enough to give the Federal Reserve a headache for a while. --- With such poor employment figures, no wonder risk assets are under pressure; it depends on how to bottom fish. --- Unemployment expectations are at their lowest in over ten years. Based on this logic, the pressure for steady growth should be even greater, right?

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RuntimeError

· 01-08 17:53

Unemployment rate at 43.1%? The lowest in over a decade, this is the real problem Inflation and unemployment—choose one. Is the Federal Reserve digging a hole or filling one? Consumer confidence hits rock bottom, sounds very hopeless... But could this be an opportunity for us to short? 43.1% can't find a job, honestly a bit scary, it feels like the economy is really heading for a hard landing Fights within the Federal Reserve, decision-makers haven't made up their minds? Then we're even more clueless haha What does this data indicate? Is everyone just waiting to die or are they trying to catch the bottom?

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LayerZeroHero

· 01-08 17:46

43.1% probability of finding a job? The lowest in over a decade? Now it's really time to hold tight to your coins --- Inflation continues to climb, unemployment confidence drops straight to the limit... The Federal Reserve is playing a game of tug-of-war --- Laughing out loud, one side stabilizes inflation, the other side protects employment. This decision-making style in Web3 would be called governance deadlock --- Feels like this kind of uncertainty is more terrifying than anything else. Is this a signal that Bitcoin is about to take off? --- Consumer sentiment has already exploded. The 0.2% inflation increase feels like the sky is falling --- Fed internal conflicts, market landmines. I've seen this script too many times in contract liquidations

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ser_ngmi

· 01-08 17:43

43.1% found a job... This data really can't hold up anymore, a ten-year low, brother. Inflation is rising while unemployment is falling. The Federal Reserve's hand is indeed ridiculously bad. The Fed is still hesitating, but we retail investors have already placed our bets, haha. That's why I don't dare to leverage; uncertainty is the biggest risk. Stabilizing inflation or maintaining employment—basically, it's about choosing who lives and who dies. The market hates this kind of ambiguity. We'll see the outcome at next month's meeting. Feeling like a storm is coming; all major assets are waiting for the Fed's signal. Inflation expectations are still climbing, and the wallet really can't get any thicker. The lowest employment confidence in over a decade... Would you still dare to go all-in under these circumstances? The Fed's disagreements are either our opportunity or a trap, hard to say. As soon as the unemployment rate data is released, it feels like the next adjustment cycle is about to start.

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SybilSlayer

· 01-08 17:40

43.1% employment probability... Wow, this data is really incredible. A ten-year low—it's hard to even say out loud. Inflation continues to rise, unemployment probability is still falling. Is the Federal Reserve playing with fire? The Federal Reserve's oscillating moves really seem to be toying with the market like a monkey. Uncertainty itself is the greatest certainty; wallets are about to shrink. Whether to stabilize inflation or to preserve employment—this dilemma is like choosing between a fish and a bear's paw; no matter which you choose, you'll get cut.

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