The core competitiveness of investment is only one: cognition. Luck can support you to make a profit, but to survive long-term, you need to understand the cycle and continuously evolve yourself.
Yesterday's Bitcoin movement was quite interesting. Starting from the high of 91666 in the early session, it gradually declined with oscillations, reaching 89242 in the evening before stopping. The whole process looked like a buildup, but the bulls indeed faced significant pressure. Ethereum's rhythm basically followed Bitcoin, continuing the rebound from early morning, reaching 3183 before starting to face resistance. When bad news about the US stock market opening lower came out in the evening, the price directly dropped to 3052 and then stabilized.
Multiple reminders throughout the day emphasized the idea of a rebound being a good opportunity to short, and the market moved exactly as expected. We successfully positioned with two Bitcoin shorts and two Ethereum shorts. Bitcoin ultimately gained 1900 points, and Ethereum also gained 160 points, which is quite good.
From the six-hour chart, the stair-step downward trend is very clear. The price is now oscillating around the middle-lower band, with both bulls and bears repeatedly testing. The three lines have already begun to flatten, and both MACD and KDJ show clear bearish signals, making a reversal unlikely in the short term. The support around 89300 below still needs to be closely watched.
On the hourly level, the US stock market opening lower indeed put some pressure on the market. The price moved closer to the middle band but did not break through, and the upward movement did not change the overall downward pattern of the three lines. Therefore, the upcoming trading strategy remains mainly to short at high points.
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CafeMinor
· 01-11 09:01
It's easy to talk about understanding this stuff, but few actually survive.
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Fren_Not_Food
· 01-11 06:44
Cognition is not wrong, but the real bottleneck is execution. There's a vast gap between knowing and doing.
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SybilSlayer
· 01-08 17:51
Understanding this thing is easier said than done; only a few people truly survive through the cycle.
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ETH_Maxi_Taxi
· 01-08 17:49
I agree with the cognitive part, but honestly, luck plays a bigger role than you think. The short position yesterday was indeed well-executed, but I still believe that this high-altitude strategy carries significant risks, as a black swan could turn the tables immediately.
That said, if the 89300 support level really breaks, it will be very interesting.
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MEVHunterBearish
· 01-08 17:48
1900 points are easy to talk about, but how many actually make a profit? If this wave of short positions can't withstand the pullback, they'll have to cut losses.
Cognition is indeed key, but disciplined execution is what keeps you alive.
The short-term bearish signals are strong, but can the US stocks hold steady? It still feels like there will be repeated tests.
A predominantly bearish outlook is correct, but the 89,300 level below must hold.
The bulls are crying, the bears are laughing, and we're just swaying in between.
The chart looks good, but I'm afraid another sudden positive surprise at night will make everything a waste.
Only those who understand the cycle thoroughly deserve to last long; most are just gambling on luck.
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ImpermanentPhilosopher
· 01-08 17:33
Understand this thing, it's easy to say but hard to do, most people are still fooled by luck
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PoolJumper
· 01-08 17:30
Take down 1900 points directly; this level of cognitive gap is the real way to make money.
Wait, how long can the US stock market's recent sharp decline really be suppressed?
Short-term bearish signals are obvious, but I still feel there's more behind it.
This wave's rhythm is different from the previous two cycles.
In short, it's about expectation management; you need to be prepared for both upward and downward movements.
Keep a close eye on 89,300; once it's broken, you'll need to change your approach.
The core competitiveness of investment is only one: cognition. Luck can support you to make a profit, but to survive long-term, you need to understand the cycle and continuously evolve yourself.
Yesterday's Bitcoin movement was quite interesting. Starting from the high of 91666 in the early session, it gradually declined with oscillations, reaching 89242 in the evening before stopping. The whole process looked like a buildup, but the bulls indeed faced significant pressure. Ethereum's rhythm basically followed Bitcoin, continuing the rebound from early morning, reaching 3183 before starting to face resistance. When bad news about the US stock market opening lower came out in the evening, the price directly dropped to 3052 and then stabilized.
Multiple reminders throughout the day emphasized the idea of a rebound being a good opportunity to short, and the market moved exactly as expected. We successfully positioned with two Bitcoin shorts and two Ethereum shorts. Bitcoin ultimately gained 1900 points, and Ethereum also gained 160 points, which is quite good.
From the six-hour chart, the stair-step downward trend is very clear. The price is now oscillating around the middle-lower band, with both bulls and bears repeatedly testing. The three lines have already begun to flatten, and both MACD and KDJ show clear bearish signals, making a reversal unlikely in the short term. The support around 89300 below still needs to be closely watched.
On the hourly level, the US stock market opening lower indeed put some pressure on the market. The price moved closer to the middle band but did not break through, and the upward movement did not change the overall downward pattern of the three lines. Therefore, the upcoming trading strategy remains mainly to short at high points.