It’s not that the market hates you.
It’s not that you’re lacking luck.
It’s that you’re losing because of your own trading approach.
A few days ago, a friend messaged me: using all their half-year savings to trade a contract, and by the next morning, their account was wiped out. They asked me:
“You’re on the right track, so why are you still losing?”
I answered very straightforwardly:
Being on the right track but still losing—that’s normal in crypto.
Many people analyze charts daily, research which coins are about to rise, but they overlook a very harsh truth:
👉 The short-term prediction accuracy in crypto is almost like flipping a coin.
The ones truly making money are not market fortune-tellers, but those with steel discipline.
Root Cause of Losses: Losing Because of Wrong Timing
In crypto, there’s a familiar cycle:
Price rises → greed, reluctance to take profitPrice drops → panic, bottom fishingSideways → itchy hands, constant trading
That’s not strategy, that’s instinct.
Last year, BTC dropped from $73,000 to $62,000, and I saw a friend short correctly, making over 300 million VND. But out of regret, they didn’t take profit, switched to long — and got wiped out.
Stories like this happen every day in crypto.
Statistics show:
Traders who trade constantly achieve an average profit of ~11%/yearTraders who trade less, select their timing, can reach ~18–20%/year
Because the more you trade:
Higher feesMore mistakes Easier emotional reactions
The biggest opportunities often appear when you’re standing outside observing.
Trends Are Your Friends – But Don’t Befriend the Wrong People
Many say “follow the trend,” but in reality:
👉 Seeing the price rise, they jump in
👉 Seeing the price fall, they run away
That’s not following the trend, that’s chasing the trend.
Following the trend properly means:
Waiting for the market to choose a directionWaiting for a clear breakoutWaiting for volume confirmationThen entering
Like swing trading:
No one swims out to the sea to guess when a wave will come.
They wait, see the wave form, then rush in.
Crypto is the same.
The longer the accumulation phase, the stronger the subsequent breakout usually is. But the key is not to bet before the market makes a decision.
Short-Term Trading: Market Temperature Determines Everything
A fact to accept:
In the short term, price increases are not due to technology, but flow of money.
When a coin:
Goes from professional groups to general groupsGoes from Twitter to FacebookGoes from KOLs to tech drivers
It’s very likely… the peak is very near.
When everyone has bought in, who is left to buy to push the price higher?
My experience:
Short-term trades should not be held longer than 3 daysIf after 3 days it hasn’t moved → either wrong, or sidewaysHave a plan to exit right from the start
Entry and Exit Points: Indicators Are Mirrors, Not Fortune Tellers
Many people use MA, support, resistance to… predict prices.
That’s a big mistake.
Indicators are not for predicting the future.
They are for risk management.
My principles:
Price above main MA → only long or stand asidePrice breaks below MA → reduce position, cut lossesEncounter resistance without volume → take profitsBefore entering a trade, have enough:
Reason for entryTargetStop lossScenario if caught in a squeeze
Without these four factors → that’s not trading, that’s gambling.
Capital Management: Survival Is More Important Than Profit
In crypto:
👉 The long-term survivor is the ultimate winner.
I once met a trader:
Shorted BTC correctly 9 times in a rowBut just one reverse trade with 30x leverage wiped out $500,000 in minutes
The market doesn’t care how many times you’re right.
One big mistake can eliminate you.
My capital rules:
Risk per trade ≤ 2% of the accountTotal leverage ≤ 3xMake profits and withdraw the principalOnly use profits to trade bigger
Thus:
Fail 5 trades in a row, still have capital to continueThe capital is the opportunity
Psychology: Humility Is Key to Longevity
Crypto never lacks black swans:
A tweetA legal newsA platform malfunction
All can reverse the market in minutes.
A good trader is not someone who’s always right.
But someone who:
Cuts losses when wrongAccepts losses without stubbornnessDoesn’t try to prove they’re right
Admitting ignorance—that’s the beginning of wisdom.
Conclusion: Crypto Is a Test of Mind, Not a Casino
To succeed in crypto, remember one thing:
Use discipline to control instincts, use rules to counter emotions.
Crypto is full of opportunities. Only those who stay calm amid the chaos are missing.
Each candlestick is a psychological test.
Each dump is a discipline exam.
The ultimate winner is not the fastest trader, but the one who’s not eliminated early.
If you don’t have a clear trading system, start with small capital.
Crypto is a marathon, not a lottery ticket.
Survival is already a victory. Making money is just a reward for those who are patient.
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Want to Flip the Deal in Crypto, 90% of People Have Misunderstood the Focus
It’s not that the market hates you. It’s not that you’re lacking luck. It’s that you’re losing because of your own trading approach. A few days ago, a friend messaged me: using all their half-year savings to trade a contract, and by the next morning, their account was wiped out. They asked me: “You’re on the right track, so why are you still losing?” I answered very straightforwardly: Being on the right track but still losing—that’s normal in crypto. Many people analyze charts daily, research which coins are about to rise, but they overlook a very harsh truth: 👉 The short-term prediction accuracy in crypto is almost like flipping a coin. The ones truly making money are not market fortune-tellers, but those with steel discipline.