2026-01-09 22:22:48

Bitcoin has evolved into a macro asset—stop obsessing over the 4-year halving cycle and start watching what the Fed actually does.

Global liquidity is the real game changer here. When recession fears kick in, $55k becomes your hard floor. If we defend that level, the setup for $200k+ gets locked in. It's not magic; it's mechanics. The macro backdrop either fuels the next rally or tests your conviction.

BTC2,18%

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
9
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

GasFeeBarbecue

· 23h ago

To be honest, Bitcoin has long since moved beyond the halving cycle. Watching the Federal Reserve is the right way.

View OriginalReply0

GovernancePretender

· 01-12 11:41

Federal Reserve actions are much more important than the halving cycle; this is the real truth.

View OriginalReply0

OnchainArchaeologist

· 01-11 04:13

Well said, the Fed's moves are indeed much more reliable than the halving cycle.

View OriginalReply0

SurvivorshipBias

· 01-10 04:25

Well said, the Fed's approach is the real master of the game.

View OriginalReply0

FloorPriceNightmare

· 01-09 22:52

Hmm... that's true, but is it really that easy to predict central bank policies?

View OriginalReply0

FalseProfitProphet

· 01-09 22:52

The Federal Reserve's moves are more critical than the halving cycle, and there's nothing wrong with that statement.

View OriginalReply0

HappyMinerUncle

· 01-09 22:52

The idea of the halving cycle is outdated; keeping an eye on the Federal Reserve is the real key.

View OriginalReply0

pvt_key_collector

· 01-09 22:42

Bitcoin has really become a macro asset toy now, retail investors are still studying the halving cycle haha The key is how the Federal Reserve acts; liquidity is the real accelerator.

View OriginalReply0

PanicSeller

· 01-09 22:37

If I can't hold 55k, I will be gone, don't talk to me about macro liquidity.

View OriginalReply0