A while ago, I was chatting with an old friend in the circle, and he said something very eye-opening: "In this market, it's no longer about guessing the direction, but about timing." This sentence instantly struck a chord with many people—including myself.

By 2025, some are still debating whether to stick with futures contracts or stay in stable spot holdings. Little do they realize that the underlying logic of the market has already changed completely. That old theory—spot is safe, holding long-term guarantees success—has long become pale and powerless. You might think you're holding valuable coins, but in reality, they could just be slowly evaporating.

A friend of mine once went all-in on spot during the bull market, claiming he would hold for three years. When the bear market hit, his 120,000 USD account shrank directly to just over 10,000. After that, he completely gave up trading, summing it up with "I'll never get back to where I was." Ironically, the projects he chose weren't meme coins; what really knocked him out was poor timing of entry and the rhythm of holding.

I've also fallen into this trap. Always thinking about long-term, but a single correction would wipe out all my profits. Later, I realized that in the current market, the importance of judging the direction has seriously diminished, and mastering the timing is the core. Don't be greedy, don't hold on to losing positions, trade in waves when opportunities arise, and take profits when they appear. Even earning just 10%-20% each time, as long as it's stable and repeatable, can accumulate to a significant amount.

Take my recent operation as an example: short-term positioning in COAI, starting to build a short position at 14.9, closing it within 24 hours at 14.1, netting a single trade profit of 9,800 USD. It doesn't require any advanced skills; the key is understanding market rhythm—knowing when to act and when to stop.