2026-01-11 01:25:09

How one bot turned $25K into $591K in 30 days through prediction market arbitrage.

11,601 trades executed. Biggest single win landed $62K. This isn't hype or some magic formula—it's raw market mechanics at work.

The setup? Simple but brutal. Crypto markets and prediction markets operate on different timelines. Price discrepancies appear. They disappear fast. The bot catches that gap, exploits it, moves on. Rinse and repeat across thousands of opportunities.

$25K to $591K means roughly 23x returns in a month. Can you copy this exact blueprint and hit the same numbers? Probably not. Market conditions shift. Timing matters. Execution precision matters even more.

But here's what actually matters: the mechanism works. The arbitrage windows exist. The question isn't whether it's possible—it's whether you can build the infrastructure, identify the patterns, and act faster than everyone else hunting the same opportunities.

That's where the real edge lives.

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zkProofInThePudding

· 21h ago

A 23x return sounds great, but how many can actually replicate it? --- Arbitrage trading and market timing—basically a game of infrastructure and speed. The barriers aren't that low anymore. --- 11601 trades make my scalp tingle. How crazy must that bot be to keep up with such execution speed? --- Is there really such a fat spread in prediction markets and the crypto space, or are only certain people able to reap these benefits? --- Turning $25K into $591K is truly a dream number. The key question is how long this mechanism can last without being arbitraged out. --- People say "the mechanism is indeed effective," but once the market discovers it, it will be drained. Who else can take over? --- It seems this line of reasoning is just "I made money, so the mechanism is effective," but they haven't explained when it will fail. --- Infrastructure is the real moat. Relying solely on strategy and speed? Ha, sooner or later, it'll crash.

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GasFeeSobber

· 21h ago

23x returns sound great, but I’m afraid only a few can truly replicate it. --- It’s another arbitrage story; I’ve heard this routine so many times. --- 11601 trades, execution ability is probably the ceiling. --- It’s not that I don’t believe, but when it comes to infrastructure and reaction speed, no one can compete with institutions. --- $62K profit on a single trade, how much luck does that really involve? --- When market conditions change, the situation changes entirely. Is the profit and risk of greed really worth it? --- Honestly, you still need money to get started to play this game. --- The real bottleneck is in infrastructure, that’s the true problem.

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gas_fee_therapist

· 01-11 07:34

It's the same 23x story again, I'm getting tired of hearing it. The key is, why don't you show the transaction records for those 11,601 trades? If it were that simple, the market would have been flattened long ago, and now there's a ton of liquidity dead. When the market is good, anyone can make money. The question is, can you still hit these numbers in the next bear market? Wait, is this bot open source? It feels like just another tool to cut the leeks haha. What about infrastructure costs? How much gas fees would burn in a month? No one mentions this. No matter how pretty the explanation, it's all after-the-fact armchair strategy. The real edge is whether you can be a few tenths of a second faster than other bots. That's why I advise people not to touch prediction markets; risk pricing is inherently chaotic.

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MoneyBurner

· 01-11 01:54

23x returns sound great, but I bet this guy will go bankrupt next month. The arbitrage window is so short, and if the infrastructure isn't built well, it's all for nothing. The ones who truly make money are always that 0.1%.

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NFTRegretDiary

· 01-11 01:54

Wow, 11,601 transactions in one month with a 23x increase—how fast must the reaction speed be?

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ShadowStaker

· 01-11 01:40

ngl, 11k trades in 30 days sounds like pure MEV extraction theater. where's the latency breakdown? network topology matters here and nobody ever talks about it. classic case of survivorship bias dressed up as edge.

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