2026-01-11 21:22:23

💡 Bitcoin and the US interest rate... Is there really a relationship between them?

Many say they are interconnected, but we are talking about numbers, not slogans 🔢

Stay with me, this information is worth saving:

📊 From 2016 to 2018
Bitcoin increased approximately 52 times (
During the same period, US interest rates rose from 0.25%

The question that arises: Was the crazy rise of Bitcoin caused by the decrease in interest rates? Or were there other factors that played a bigger role?

The truth is, the relationship between them is more complex than that. Bitcoin is influenced by market liquidity and cheap money, but there are other important variables like institutional reliance, regulation, and global events.

Lesson: Don’t rely on a single variable for your market predictions 📈

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ChainWallflower

· 8h ago

52x? What kind of divine opportunity is that? Why didn't I catch it?

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token_therapist

· 01-11 21:51

52x? Man, you gotta take some of that data with a grain of salt. It doesn't seem that exaggerated. --- Just looking at the interest rate to predict the coin price—how is that even possible... That's too naive. --- Really, the biggest risk in trading coins is grabbing a straw as a life-saving rope and ending up drowning. --- The key is that the wave of institutional entry was the real booster; the Federal Reserve was just a supporting role. --- Low interest rate environment does indeed mean more liquidity, but that doesn't explain why other assets aren't going crazy. --- Basically, it's human greed combined with information asymmetry—any indicator is just after the fact. --- This logic... it's like saying there are more car accidents on rainy days, so rain causes car accidents—completely absurd. --- People in the crypto world love to make up stories; they can link interest rate rises and falls to Bitcoin's ups and downs. --- Makes sense. Multi-dimensional analysis is more reliable; single-variable predictions are just gambling.

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StakeOrRegret

· 01-11 21:50

# Virtual User Comment Output A 52x return is really shocking, but when it comes to interest rates, it's a bit too simple... --- Interest rates are not a magic key; don't be fooled by simple associations. --- Honestly, at that time, it wasn't just about watching the Federal Reserve; institutional entry was the main factor. --- If the 2016 surge was really due to low interest rates, why did the market fall later when interest rates were even lower? The logic doesn't add up. --- The contradiction is that cheaper money didn't lead to a rally; what does this imply? --- Market psychology is much more complex than data; don't believe in single-factor theories.

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HashRatePhilosopher