2026-01-11 23:32:58

The story of that trader on Polymarket is truly incredible. This guy first used the alias ricosuave666 to operate in the Israeli military-related prediction markets, then switched to rundeep. What's most outrageous is—7 trades all hit, a 100% accuracy rate. And it's not just vague directional guesses, but precise predictions of military events at specific time points. Considering this probability, most normal traders would find it hard to achieve such results. This level of "divine prediction" has sparked quite a bit of discussion in the prediction market community, leading people to wonder: is the trader exceptionally sensitive to information, or are other factors at play?

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LiquiditySurfer

· 10h ago

Getting all 7 right? The probability is really too high to keep a straight face. Switching to a different disguise to continue is just too obvious.

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NftMetaversePainter

· 01-13 05:57

ngl this whole thing screams information asymmetry wrapped in algorithmic probability... the true paradigm shift here isn't the 100% accuracy, it's what it reveals about prediction market primitives and their vulnerability to asymmetric data flows. fascinating case study in digital sovereignty gone wrong.

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just_here_for_vibes

· 01-12 19:10

This guy must have an inside man or received some signals he shouldn't have... hitting all 7 bets? I don't believe this is a coincidence.

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DaoDeveloper

· 01-12 00:03

yo, 7/7 on military event predictions? ngl that's either insider info or the most insane luck variance i've ever seen. the probability mechanics here don't add up—we're talking like sub-0.1% odds if this was pure market noise. someone definitely had access to non-public signals, no cap.

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blockBoy

· 01-12 00:03

Bro, I don't understand this operation. The probability of hitting all 7 bets... to be honest, it's a bit creepy.

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BlindBoxVictim

· 01-12 00:00

Hmm... hitting all 7 bets? The probability is so outrageous that I can't believe it. It's definitely not just information asymmetry; this guy is either an insider or cheating.

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MemeCoinSavant

· 01-11 23:57

ngl this has all the hallmarks of a p-hacking fever dream... 7/7 on military event predictions? the statistical significance here is literally screaming "something's off"

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MEVictim

· 01-11 23:48

No way, all 7 bets hit? The odds are unbelievable. If you changed your alias, I’d believe it even more—there must be a mole inside.

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