#MSCI未排除数字资产财库企业纳入范围 Monday Cryptocurrency Market Watch

Global geopolitical tensions continue to escalate, and historically, times of chaos tend to boost the appeal of safe-haven assets. Currently, this logic is vividly reflected in the crypto space—large amounts of capital are flowing into the crypto market seeking preservation of value. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations remain strong. Although there is internal debate over the magnitude of the cut, the official dot plot has anchored a downward path of 25 basis points by 2026. Coupled with ongoing global central bank liquidity releases leading to currency depreciation pressures, multiple factors resonate together, making a clear reversal unlikely in the short term.

From a technical perspective, $BTC is currently oscillating above $90,000 within a relatively narrow consolidation range. Although there was a slight rally yesterday, the rebound lacked strength, with obvious selling pressure above. On the hourly chart, the MACD's DIF and DEA are gradually rising but still below the zero line. The bulls are showing signs of recovery, but the direction remains unclear; RSI14 is around 58, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish state, with room for further short-term gains. Regarding moving averages, EMA7 has crossed above EMA30 to form a golden cross, providing bullish signals, which may serve as support; EMA120 is currently close to the current price and is likely to become a bottleneck in the upward movement.

Key levels to watch on Monday include: below $89,000 is the bottom line for the bulls to defend; above $93,600 is a tough nut to crack.

$BTC: Short in the $91,800-$92,800 range, targeting $89,200-$90,200
$ETH: Short in the $3,150-$3,190 range, targeting $3,020-$3,060

Update: Major exchanges are showing a shift in attitude towards digital asset-related assets, with continued attention to new policy developments.