【Bull Market Second Half】BTC Breaks 95,000, Ethereum "Rebound" Horn Blows: Fibonacci Full Analysis and Practical Strategies

The core driving forces behind this round of rally are mainly the following three points, which also give us confidence to go long on ETH:
1. Institutional-level liquidity: Continuous massive inflows into Bitcoin spot ETFs have established the tone of an "institutional bull."
2. Market expectations for future regulatory environment improvements are extremely strong, and cryptocurrencies are shifting from "marginal assets" to "reserve assets."
3. Ethereum rebound logic: The ETH/BTC exchange rate has formed a solid double bottom around 0.034. As BTC enters a high-volatility phase, profit-taking funds are flowing into ETH, creating a huge rebound space, with a target directly at 3,500 USDT.

Technical Deep Analysis:
From daily and 4-hour charts, ETH has broken out of the consolidation range with increased volume and is currently in a strong upward trend channel.
1. Fibonacci retracement reference (based on recent low of 2,773 to high of 3,380):
• 0.236 level (3,237): Strong support rebound, if retested without breaking, it is an excellent short-term entry point.
• 0.382 level (3,148): Key boundary for healthy correction.
2. Core support and resistance levels:
• Strong resistance: 3,480 - 3,500 (psychological threshold & daily upper trendline resistance)
• Near-term resistance: 3,380 (today’s local high)
• Near-term support: 3,250 (1-hour Bollinger middle band)
• Strong support: 3,080 (Fibonacci 0.5 & previous accumulation zone)

Trading Plan:
🔹 Long entries (trend-following):
• Aggressive: 3,260 - 3,280 USDT (buy on retracement to 1-hour middle band)
• Conservative: 3,150 USDT (place orders here during deep correction)
• Stop-loss: 3,070 USDT (break below 0.5 retracement, market weakens)
🔸 Short entries (left-side game):
• Play zone: 3,380 - 3,420 USDT (near previous high resistance, attempt when BTC stagnates)
• Stop-loss: 3,450 USDT (once above previous high, immediately exit short positions)

Currently, the market is in a "long-only" strong atmosphere, and any sharp dip is an opportunity to enter. As long as BTC stays above 93,500, breaking 3,500 for ETH is just a matter of time. Remember: control your position size, avoid full positions blindly!
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