I use the horizontal axis (time) to identify the next major bottom point. Below is data on the number of days elapsed from the all-time high to the cycle low for each phase:
First halving cycle (2012): 406 days
Second halving cycle (2016): 363 days
Third halving cycle (2020): 376 days
Fourth halving cycle (2024): Pending
Based on these historical timeframes, there is a high statistical probability that the next major bottom will occur around October - November 2026.
During that specific period, regardless of price movements, a strong dollar-cost averaging strategy is the right approach. I will accumulate heavily.
However, I started buying when we entered the $60,000 range, even though that timeframe has not yet arrived.
This is the logic behind my strategy.
I operate on two axes: the horizontal (time) and the vertical (price).
Most retail traders focus only on the vertical axis (“I will buy at price X”).
The clear risk here is: if the price doesn’t reach your target, you get bought in early and miss the entire cycle.
The safe zone is often the zone where you get left behind.
The horizontal axis is a safeguard against that risk.
It defines an approach of “average risk, average reward”: when the time is right, you buy regardless of the price.
By combining these two factors, I can accumulate with limited downside risk.
Reconsider the buy order at $60,000.
In October, when BTC was trading at $114,000, I said I would be a strong buyer at $60,000.
At that time, market sentiment was very optimistic.
Everyone thought dropping to $60,000 was impossible and BTC would never go below $100,000 again.
I didn’t waste energy on criticism. I stayed calm and objective while others were distracted.
Now we’ve reached the $60,000 range, and my price thesis has been proven.
However, the risk of missing a lower bottom still exists, which is why we also need to prepare for the horizontal target: October-November 2026.
Summary of the strategy:
My accumulation plan is a diversified DCA method on two axes:
Horizontal axis: October-November 2026 is the strong buy period (regardless of price).
Vertical axis: Below $60,000 is the strong buy period (regardless of timing).
If either condition is met, I will place daily buy orders worth $500,000.
Additionally, don’t forget the on-chain indicator called NUPL, which measures institutional levels.
The green zone on the historical chart indicates the absolute bottom of a generation.
– Bear market 2018
– COVID crash
– Bottom in 2022
It has covered all phases without exception.
Currently, we have not yet entered the green zone.
In fact, we are still quite far from it.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bitcoin at $45,000 to $50,000 by the end of 2026.
That’s my final bottom price target, where I feel confident to invest everything.
The market is volatile now, but we will get through this phase and witness the next bull run together.
I’ve been here since 2016. Have you ever seen BTC crash in just a few minutes because an exchange collapsed?
That 50% drop is completely insignificant, and as I said before, everything is proceeding as planned.
When I make a new move in the market, I will announce it here because I want us all to win.
Just turn on notifications and pay close attention. Many will regret not following me sooner, trust me.
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IMPORTANT: This Is My Opinion on the Exact Timing of the Next Cycle Bottom
I use the horizontal axis (time) to identify the next major bottom point. Below is data on the number of days elapsed from the all-time high to the cycle low for each phase: First halving cycle (2012): 406 days Second halving cycle (2016): 363 days Third halving cycle (2020): 376 days Fourth halving cycle (2024): Pending Based on these historical timeframes, there is a high statistical probability that the next major bottom will occur around October - November 2026. During that specific period, regardless of price movements, a strong dollar-cost averaging strategy is the right approach. I will accumulate heavily. However, I started buying when we entered the $60,000 range, even though that timeframe has not yet arrived. This is the logic behind my strategy. I operate on two axes: the horizontal (time) and the vertical (price). Most retail traders focus only on the vertical axis (“I will buy at price X”). The clear risk here is: if the price doesn’t reach your target, you get bought in early and miss the entire cycle. The safe zone is often the zone where you get left behind. The horizontal axis is a safeguard against that risk. It defines an approach of “average risk, average reward”: when the time is right, you buy regardless of the price. By combining these two factors, I can accumulate with limited downside risk. Reconsider the buy order at $60,000. In October, when BTC was trading at $114,000, I said I would be a strong buyer at $60,000. At that time, market sentiment was very optimistic. Everyone thought dropping to $60,000 was impossible and BTC would never go below $100,000 again. I didn’t waste energy on criticism. I stayed calm and objective while others were distracted. Now we’ve reached the $60,000 range, and my price thesis has been proven. However, the risk of missing a lower bottom still exists, which is why we also need to prepare for the horizontal target: October-November 2026. Summary of the strategy: My accumulation plan is a diversified DCA method on two axes: