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The impact of US-Iran confrontation on spot silver is primarily driven by the dual factors of "risk aversion" and "inflation expectations." In simple terms, the more tense the situation, the easier it is for silver to rise; once tensions ease, prices may quickly fall back.

📈 How can the current situation push up silver prices?

Safe-haven capital inflows: Escalation of US-Iran confrontation (such as heavy military deployments or stalled negotiations) can trigger global panic, causing funds to withdraw from risk assets like stocks and shift into "safe-haven" assets such as silver.

Inflation expectations rise: The Middle East is a vital oil region, and conflicts could push oil prices higher. Silver has industrial properties as well, so rising oil prices can boost inflation expectations, further strengthening silver’s anti-inflation value.

⚠️ Beware of “buy the rumor, sell the fact”

This is a typical feature of geopolitical markets:

Pre-conflict (expectation): When tensions are high, silver prices usually rise. For example, recent silver prices rebounded from $75 to around $87, which includes this "risk premium."

Post-conflict (fact): Once the conflict actually erupts or tensions ease (such as successful negotiations), the accumulated risk aversion sentiment can be released instantly, causing prices to fall rapidly, or even experience a "good news is bad news" crash.

💡 Trading Suggestions

Short-term: Watch for breakthroughs in the $86-$88 range. If prices stabilize, there may be further upward movement; if significant positive news about negotiations emerges, be alert to the risk of a price correction.

Risks: Silver volatility is much higher than gold and is easily affected by news. It is recommended to control positions and avoid chasing highs.