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The new Federal Reserve chair candidate appears, but BTC has already risen first: Is the market sensing a rate cut?
The crypto world was a bit lively early this morning.
Bitcoin suddenly surged to $74,050, hitting a new high since February 5th, and the total cryptocurrency market cap also rebounded above $2.538 trillion.
Meanwhile, Washington is also staging another show— The White House officially submitted a nomination for Kevin Warsh to the Senate as the new Federal Reserve Chair.
Once this news broke, the market immediately shifted into “interpretation mode.”
Many traders are left with just one question:
Does this mean expectations for a rate cut are heating up?
To start with the conclusion: The market is actually still “guessing the plot.”
After all, the Fed Chair appointment is not just a job opening, but a signal of future monetary policy direction.
In past financial cycles, the market usually has two guesses about the new chair:
First: Continue current policies. Second: Change policy direction.
If the new chair leans toward easing, the market will preemptively trade in “rate cut expectations.” If hawkish, the market might be more cautious.
And this time, BTC’s rise is largely due to funds pre-betting on the macro narrative.
Simply put:
The market might not have seen a rate cut yet, but it’s already fantasizing about one.
Adding to this is another piece of news—the U.S. Senate did not pass a vote to halt Donald Trump’s military actions against Iran, reigniting uncertainty in the Middle East.
So, the macro market has formed a fascinating combination:
Geopolitical tensions Policy expectation shifts Funds seeking new directions
And Bitcoin just happens to be an asset particularly suited to absorb “macro sentiment.”
As for how to operate at this current position?
The market roughly divides into three camps:
Conservatives: Hold coins and wait for trend confirmation. Aggressives: Follow the trend and chase the breakout. Veterans: Wait for a pullback before re-entering.
Because every rally follows a classic pattern:
Everyone wants to chase during an uptrend, but no one dares to buy during a dip.
So, the real key question is:
If BTC returns to around 72,000, would you still dare to buy?
Share your strategies in the comments. #美伊局势影响