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#比特币站上七万美元 Bitcoin is currently in a corrective rebound phase following a mid-bear downtrend at the weekly level, with key support at 63K, a critical support zone at 60-65K, and a recovery target near the MA14 78.5K level. The mid-term bearish trend has not yet reversed.
Short to medium-term moving averages (MA7/14/30) continue to extend downward, particularly the MA14, which has consistently capped price rebounds during the decline and triggered new selling phases—serving as an important reference line for price recovery. The long-term MA180 acts as the critical support lifeline for current market conditions.
Trading volume expanded during the earlier decline and moderately increased during recent rebounds, indicating that buyers are still tentatively entering the market without yet forming a trending force. The MACD indicator remains below the 0-axis and continues to diverge downward; while the fast line shows signs of turning, bearish momentum is weakening, but a clear bullish crossover signal has not yet appeared—the mid-term trend remains bearish. Key resistance focus this week: 78-80K zone; key support focus this week: 70-68K zone.
At the daily level, seven consecutive small positive candles show gradual emergence from a small-level rebound channel, and price has now broken above the short to medium-term moving averages (MA7/14/30), with the short-term trend shifting from bearish to bullish. Downside support at 70K (convergence of MA7/14 and recent lows), upside resistance at 75K (previous consolidation level) and 80K (MA90 resistance).
Trading volume has moderately increased during the recent rebound, with steady buying support and no obvious sharp volume spike followed by pullback. The MACD fast line has broken above the 0-axis and continues extending upward; positive histogram bars continue to slightly expand, indicating strengthening short-term bullish momentum.
The daily level has entered a short-term rebound trend with gradually recovering bullish strength, though overhead resistance is dense and the rebound pace will likely proceed primarily through oscillating upward movement.
This week's trend forecast combines signals from both weekly and daily convergence. The price will likely oscillate upward this week, consolidate at 75-78K, then make exploratory attempts at the 78-80K resistance zone. If subsequent volume struggles to match the price advance and geopolitical tensions escalate or the Fed signals a hawkish stance, this rebound cycle may conclude.